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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 16 November 15
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 1.295 MILLION TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL FOR Q1 - Q2'16
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued an new tender for 1,295,000 Metric Tons (MT) of minimum 4,600 kc ...
Monday, 16 November 15
SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS DECLINE CONTINUES THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery declined US$ 6.05 (12.59%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swa ...
Monday, 16 November 15
CLARKSEA INDEX COMPETITION: IS IT ALL IN THE TIMING? - CLARKSONS
Readers of the Shipping Intelligence Weekly are invited each year to predict the value of the ClarkSea Index one year ahead in the first week of No ...
Monday, 16 November 15
DRY BULK MARKET: Q1' 2016 SHAPING UP TO BE A ' DISASTROUS' ONE OF PROJECTED LOWER IRON ORE IMPORTS FROM CHINA
Over the course of the past year or so, it’s been the drop of coal imports from China, which has had a detrimental effect on the course of dr ...
Friday, 13 November 15
WEAK CHINA POWER DEMAND DAMPENS COAL CONSUMPTION - FITCH
The weak growth in China's electricity consumption in 2015, together with increasing non-thermal power generation capacity are exerting more pr ...
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- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PTC India Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
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