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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 09 August 16
CS50 COAL INDEX HITS NEW FIFTY-WEEKS HIGH
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin rose 1.78% week over week to averaging $41.85 per ton this past week, shows CS (i) C ...
Tuesday, 09 August 16
HARD COAL PRODUCTION AND WORLD TRADE ON THE DECLINE FOR THE FIRST TIME IN YEARS - VDKI
Hard coal production and world trade on the decline for the first time in years – not a harbinger of a global energy turnaround
Worldwid ...
Tuesday, 09 August 16
BREXIT, BRITANNIA AND THE WAVES - TREVOR CROWE, CLARKSON RESEARCH
This week, the Bank of England put into place its action plan following the UK referendum on 23rd June, which indicated the British population&rsqu ...
Monday, 08 August 16
INDONESIA'S DRAFT MINING LAW HINTS AT FUTURE REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
COALspot.com: A draft mining law published by Indonesia's Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources provides use ...
Monday, 08 August 16
THE TURKISH GOVERNMENT HAS IMPOSED A $15 A TON DUTY ON POWER PLANT COAL IMPORTS - MEDIA
COALspot.com: The Turkish government has imposed a US$15 per ton duty on thermal coal imports for use in its power sector.
According to media ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Coal Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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