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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 12 August 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT ENDING AUGUST 6 FELL SLIGHTLY
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.9 million short ton ...
Thursday, 11 August 16
CAPESIZE THE PACIFIC SIDE IS LOOKING MORE POSITIVE, DRIVEN BY AUSTRALIAN IRON ORE - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Rates continue to be under pressure with index ending up with 639 points and average TC value at USD6,680, said Fearnleys. Fearnleys A/S ...
Thursday, 11 August 16
EIA ESTIMATES THE DELIVERED COAL PRICE TO U.S. ELECTRIC UTILITIES IN 2017 AVERAGED $2.24/MMBTU; $0.05/MMBTU HIGHER THAN 2016 ESTIMATES
Coal Supply
U.S. coal production in July was 65 million short tons (MMst), an 8 MMst (14%) increase from the previous month but 11 MMst (15%) low ...
Wednesday, 10 August 16
THE DRY BULK MARKET KEPT SOFTENING LAST WEEK; WE CAN SEE MUCH HEALTHIER NUMBERS STARTING SEPTEMBER
The Dry Bulk market kept softening last week as we have now started going through the traditionally quieter days of the summer season peak period, ...
Wednesday, 10 August 16
THE INDONESIAN DRAFT NEW MINING LAW - AMENDMENTS TO THE 2009 MINING LAW
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
COALspot.com: A draft mining law published by Indonesia's Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources provides use ...
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Planning Commission, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
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