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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 01 May 20
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND TO FALL BY 8% IN Q1 2020 RELATIVE TO Q1 2019 - IEA
We expect global coal demand to fall by 8% in Q1 2020 relative to Q1 2019. This significant drop was driven by lower demand in the electricity sect ...
Friday, 01 May 20
LUKOIL SHARES LUBRICANT EXPERIENCE AFTER FIRST 100 DAYS OF OPERATION ON VLSFO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
After 100 days of VLSFO operation, LUKOIL Marine Lubricants is sharing recent experience on VLSFO operation with NAVIGO M ...
Wednesday, 29 April 20
OIL CLOSES IN ON PEAK OVERSUPPLY - WOOD MACKENZIE
Are we now deep in the abyss? Up to our necks in it, if the oil price is any guide. Brent has now tested sub-US$20/bbl in this downturn and WTI sub ...
Monday, 27 April 20
INCIDENT INVESTIGATION: SEARCH FOR THE CAUSE, NOT THE VILLAIN - GARD
Incident investigations often conclude with placing the blame for an incident on the crew. Causes of the incidents are usually identified as proced ...
Monday, 27 April 20
A 58,000DWT VESSEL WAS FIXED DELIVERY SINGAPORE TRIP VIA INDONESIA, RE-DELIVERY WC INDIA, AT $4,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The tide turned this week for the Capesize market, as voyage rates registered dramatically falling fuel costs. This was led primarily ...
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
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