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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 05 May 20
SUPRAMAXES: YTD SLIDE HAS BEEN 45%, WITH THE AVERAGE FOR 2020 TCA HOLDING AT US$5,793 - ALLIED
It has been almost three months since the WHO officially categorized the current coronavirus outbreak as a global pandemic, an outbreak that has br ...
Monday, 04 May 20
U.S. ESTIMATED COAL PRODUCTION FALL 39.4% YEAR ON YEAR IN THE WEEK ENDED APRIL 25 - EIA
Estimated U.S. coal production totaled about 8.6 million short tons (MMst) For the week ended April 25, 2020, says EIA in its latest report.
E ...
Saturday, 02 May 20
SUPRAMAX: ASIA, STRONGER NUMBERS - A 55.000-DWT WAS FIXED FROM INDONESIA TO CHINA IN THE MID $6,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A tepid week for the big ships, as macro concerns continued to weigh heavily on the index. All of the major voyage routes lost value, ...
Friday, 01 May 20
KOSPO INVITED OFFER FOR 5600 NCV COAL FOR Q3 2020 LOADING
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO) has issued an International tender for 260,000 Metric Tons (MT) steam coal for Boryeong Power ...
Friday, 01 May 20
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND TO FALL BY ABOUT 8% IN 2020,THE LARGEST DROP SINCE WORLD WAR II - IEA
We expect global coal demand to fall by about 8% in 2020, the largest drop since World War II, with coal use declining in virtually every sector of ...
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
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