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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 10 September 23
CHINA AUGUST COAL IMPORTS OF 44.3 MLN T HIT RECORD - REUTERS
China, the world’s top coal consumer, imported 44.3 million metric tons of the fuel last month, customs data showed, the highest amount in an ...
Tuesday, 22 August 23
CHINA'S COAL PRODUCTION LOGS STEADY GROWTH IN JANUARY-JULY: XINHUA
China’s output of raw coal went up 3.6 percent year on year in the first seven months of this year, official data showed.
The ...
Sunday, 13 August 23
THE COMMODITIES FEED: LNG SUPPLY RISKS LINGER - ING
Energy – OPEC sees deficit over remainder of 2023
Oil prices came under some pressure yesterday with ICE Brent settling a litt ...
Wednesday, 09 August 23
COAL TRADE TO RETURN TO 2019 LEVELS - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The International Energy Agency’s mid-year Coal Market Update for 2023 brings both positive and concerning news for the global coal industry. ...
Sunday, 23 July 23
ANALYSIS-INDIA'S COAL MINING BET STUMBLES AS WARY BANKS WEIGH RISING RISKS - REUTERS
India’s drive to ramp up coal output to meet growing energy demand is faltering due to banks’ reluctance to finance newly auctioned min ...
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- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
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