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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 09 November 23
GREEK AND CHINESE COMPANIES OWN 34% OF THE GLOBAL FLEET’S CARGO CAPACITY - BIMCO
“The global fleet of cargo carrying ships consists of around 61,000 ships with a deadweight capacity of about 2,200 million tonnes. The ships ...
Monday, 23 October 23
CHINA SEPT COAL OUTPUT HITS SIX-MONTH HIGH ON RISING POWER DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s September coal output rose 0.4% from August to the highest level since March, official data showed on Wednesday, on rising power dema ...
Monday, 23 October 23
INDIA COAL INVENTORIES DROP AT FASTEST PACE IN TWO YEARS, BOOSTING IMPORTS - REUTERS
Coal inventories at Indian power plants in the first half of October fell at their fastest rate in two years, an analysis of government data showed ...
Tuesday, 19 September 23
LNG SHIPPING STOCKS: THE ASIAN GROWTH UP-INDICES
Last week, the UP World LNG Shipping Index (UPI) gained 3.81 points or 2.51%, closing at 155.85 points. This index tracks the performance of LNG sh ...
Sunday, 10 September 23
GOLDMAN SACHS PREDICTS OIL PRICE TO HIT $100 ON OPEC CUTS - YAHOO FINANCE
Oil supply cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia could lead to Brent crude jumping as high as $107 a barrel in 2024, Goldman Sachs Commodities Research h ...
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- CNBM International Corporation - China
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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