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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 18 April 21
INDONESIA LIKELY TO WITNESS 119 OIL AND GAS PROJECTS STARTS ACROSS VALUE CHAIN BY 2025, SAYS GLOBALDATA
Indonesia is expected to witness 119 oil and gas projects commencing their operations across value chain during 2021-2025, accounting for 6% of the ...
Sunday, 18 April 21
WORLDSTEEL RAISES 2021 STEEL DEMAND GROWTH FORECAST TO 5.8% - WORLDSTEEL
The World Steel Association (worldsteel) today released its Short Range Outlook (SRO) for 2021 and 2022. worldsteel forecasts that steel demand wil ...
Sunday, 18 April 21
CHINA'S Q1 COAL OUTPUT RISES 16% ON STRONG DEMAND FOR WINTER HEATING - REUTERS
China’s coal output rose 16% in the first quarter from the same period last year, bolstered by strong demand for winter heating and robust in ...
Wednesday, 14 April 21
INDIA HAS A RECORD LEVEL OF STOCKPILED COAL DAMPENING NEED FOR NEW DOMESTIC MINES - IEEFA
Proposed coal mining expansions at odds with excess supply
India has stockpiled a record 132 million tonnes of coal – enough t ...
Wednesday, 14 April 21
BANGLADESH NEEDS A RENEWABLES FOCUS, NOT A SWITCH FROM 'COAL TO GAS' - IEEFA
Renewables are cheaper and more sustainable than gas imports, and can provide better energy security in developing nations
The emerg ...
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- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
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