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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 08 May 21
LNG-TO-POWER INVESTORS IN THE PHILIPPINES RISK EXPOSURE TO $14 BILLION IN STRANDED ASSETS - IEEFA
High regulatory and financial uncertainty in the Philippines market
The race to develop liquified natural gas (LNG) facilities in th ...
Saturday, 08 May 21
THE COAL-TO-RENEWABLES TRANSITION TAKES OFF - IEEFA
Pre-Biden changes underscore coming 10-year wave of coal plant retirements
The traditional S-curve growth exhibited by disruptive te ...
Friday, 07 May 21
CHINA'S TOTAL COAL IMPORTS FOR 2020 REACHED A VOLUME OF 304 MILLION TONS - ASSOCARBONI
Our benchmarks, manufacturing Countries like China, Germany, Japan, India, South Korea and Taiwan will continue to use a mix of coal and nuclear to ...
Friday, 07 May 21
SEABORNE WORLD COAL TRADE CLOSED 2020 IN NEGATIVE - ASSOCARBONI
Coal confirmed its leadership as leading fuel for electricity generation also in 2020, accounting for 38% of overall production. For the first time ...
Friday, 07 May 21
INDONESIA'S THERMAL COAL EXPORTS IN 2020 DECREASED BY 13%; INDIA REMAINED THE TOP DESTINATION FOR INDONESIAN COAL - ASSOCARBONI
An increase in seaborne trade is forecast for 2022, driven by markets in Southeast Asia, where growing demand for coal from Bangladesh, the Philipp ...
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- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
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