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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 19 May 11
OVERSUPPLY, VERY LARGE ORE CARRIERS EAT UP ON DRY BULK FREIGHT RATES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
After a brief upward momentum which ended early last week, the Baltic Dry Index, the dry bulk market’s benchmark has returned to its usual pat ...
Wednesday, 18 May 11
THE US COAL INDUSTRY LOGGED EXPORTS OF AROUND 25M TONNES IN 1Q OF 2011 - BRS
Another slow decline in the bulk markets this week, with the BCI losing the most at nearly 5%, the BPI 2.8% and the smaller sizes sub-1% amounts. Th ...
Wednesday, 18 May 11
AKR AIMS TO SELL COAL WORTH RP216 BILLION - PAPER
Bisnis Indonesia, an Indonesia's one of the leading business paper reported that, PT AKR Corporindo Tbk has targeted coal sales valued at Rp216 bil ...
Wednesday, 18 May 11
OVERHAUL OF MINING LAW MAY DETER INVESTMENT, S&P SAYS - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta Globe, an Indonesian English language news paper reported that, A report by Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services that a regulatory ...
Tuesday, 17 May 11
DRY BULK MARKET ENTERS WEEK ON WEAK MODE - HELLENIC SHIPPING
In yet another sign of softening freight rates for dry bulk carriers and oversupply issues, the dry bulk market entered this week on a downward path ...
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- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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