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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 28 May 11
GOLDEN MINES IPO AT RP 2,300 - RP 3,500
Coal miner PT Golden Energy Mines, a wholly owned subsidiary of PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA) which is controlled by Indonesian businessman ...
Friday, 27 May 11
LARGER DRY BULK CARRIERS LEAD BDIS RALLY THIS WEEK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Larger dry bulk vessels have kept on leading the market’s rise this week, with the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) rising by a more than healthy 3.43% ...
Wednesday, 25 May 11
70 PERCENT OF HARUMS PRODUCTION SOLD - BISNIS INDONESIA
Coal producer PT Harum Energy Tbk claimed that out of this year's total production target of 10 million tons, 70% or 7 million tons had been sold, ...
Wednesday, 25 May 11
MINERS BACK GOVT PLAN TO FREEZE MINING PERMITS - THE JAKARTA POST
Indonesian coal miners hailed the government’s decision to impose a moratorium on the issuance of new mining permits, saying the freeze would ...
Wednesday, 25 May 11
DRY BULK MARKET ENTERS WEEK ON A HIGH NOTE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has managed to end its downward trend of the past few weeks and surge back on higher ground. Yesterday, the Baltic Dry Index (BD ...
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- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- VISA Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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