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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 29 July 11
5300 ADB COAL WILL BE AT US$ 60/TON IN THIS QUARTER - RAIN
COALspot.com - PT Resource Alam Indonesia Tbk (KKGI) seeing the average selling price of its coal for the third quarter of this year will increase t ...
Thursday, 28 July 11
PTBA'S COAL PRICES UP IN H1 2011
COALspot.com - Bukit Asam’s coal prices in the second half of 2011 will expected to be higher than the first half of this year, said Sukrisno, ...
Thursday, 28 July 11
RESOURCE ALAM 1H PROFIT SURGES 208 PERCENT
Indonesia's tenth largest coal miner in term of concessions, PT Resource Alam Indonesia (KKGI), part of Rain Group, today reported a skyrocket net ...
Thursday, 28 July 11
DRY BULK MARKET EDGES FURTHER DOWN ON ADDED PRESSURE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI), an indicator of dry bulk freight rates has reached new lows this week, with yesterday’s session ending further dow ...
Wednesday, 27 July 11
BLACKSTONE TO INVEST INR 5,000 MILLION (APPRX. US$ 111 MILLION) IN VISA POWER
Press Release - The Blackstone Group (NYSE: BX) today announced that it will be investing INR 5,000 million (c. USD 111 million) in VISA Power ...
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- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
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