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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 05 August 11
THE WORLDS LARGEST COAL MINER TO INVEST IN INDO MINES
COALspot.com - Golden Energy Mines (GEMS) might go for initial public offering (IPO) by the end of September 2011. The company is planning to off lo ...
Friday, 05 August 11
DRY BULK MARKET FINALLY TAKES A BREATHER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market at last caught a break mid-week after a constant fall which saw the industry’s benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) falli ...
Thursday, 04 August 11
THE HBA CONTINUES TO FALL IN AUGUST
COALspot.com - Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of Indonesia has set the August 2011 coal reference price at US$ 117.21 per ton slightly low ...
Wednesday, 03 August 11
DEWA RETURNS TO US$2.65 MIO NET PROFIT - INSIDER STORIES
Coal mining contractor PT Darma Henwa Tbk (DEWA), that most of its revenue is contributed by Kaltim Prima Coal and Arutmin Indonesia, returned to ne ...
Wednesday, 03 August 11
DRY BULK MARKET SINKS TO THREE-MONTH LOWS, BUT CAPESIZES COULD TURN THINGS AROUND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market kept on falling this week, on the back of slow cargo demand amid the summer season. Yesterday, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index), the i ...
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- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Coal Association
- The University of Queensland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
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