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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 08 September 11
PETROSEA ADDS US$730 MIO CONTRACT
Coal mining contractor PT Petrosea Tbk (PTRO), a majority owned subsidiary of energy integrated company PT Indika Energy Tbk (INDY), has secured a U ...
Wednesday, 07 September 11
ANOTHER EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG WEEK FOR THE CAPESIZE MARKET - BRS
The very strong rise in Cape rates pushed through an overall improvement in the BDI this week, although relatively little benefit from the Capes has ...
Wednesday, 07 September 11
INDIA HIT BY INDONESIAS COAL PRICE - TEMPO INTERACTIVE
TEMPO Interactive, an Indonesian online news portal reported that, The Indian government has complained about the price increase of Indonesian coal, ...
Wednesday, 07 September 11
SAMPUR POWER AGREEMENT SIGNED - DAILY NEWS
Daily News, Sri Lank's national news paper reported that, the agreement for the setting up of a 500 MW coal-fired power plant at Sampur, Trincomale ...
Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohm ...
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- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The University of Queensland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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