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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 09 September 11
SUPRA BARA SECURES $20 MILLION LOAN - JP
The Jakarta Post reported that, Coal miner PT Supra Bara Energi says it has secured a US$20 million loan facility from BNP Paribas to buy heavy equi ...
Friday, 09 September 11
CAPESIZE CAN SECURE USD 17-18K SHORT PERIOD - FEARNBULK
Handy
The US Gulf has remained relatively steady, slightly more activity in the South Atlantic with owners aiming for low to mid USD 20k´s f ...
Thursday, 08 September 11
UKRAINES COAL PRODUCTION TO RISE 8% - IFANDP
Industrial fuels & power reported that, Ukraine will increase its coal output by about 8% this year compared to last year, said the country&rsqu ...
Thursday, 08 September 11
DRY BULK MARKETS RALLY COMES TO AN END - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
As was widely expected by analysts and shipbrokers alike, the latest rally of the dry bulk market came to a halt yesterday, with the Baltic Dry Inde ...
Thursday, 08 September 11
TRADA MARITIME BUYS GUNUNG BARA UTAMA
Insider Stories reported that, PT Trada Maritime Tbk (TRAM) has purchased convertible bonds issued by PT Awesome Coal from Zakia Limited. The memora ...
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- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Planning Commission, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The University of Queensland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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