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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 06 October 11
SOUTH EAST ASIAS AGGRESSIVE POWER DEMAND GROWTH WILL REQUIRE INVESTMENT OF US$125 BN BY 2020 - WOOD MACKENZIE
COALspot.com - Wood Mackenzie says that South East Asia’s demand growth for new power generation is so aggressive that new power generation in ...
Thursday, 06 October 11
CHINESE DEMAND FOR COAL IMPORTS TO MODERATE IN 2012 - MISWIN MAHESH
COALspot.com - We expect Chinese demand growth for imported steam coal to moderate over the next year. Steam coal imports into China will modera ...
Wednesday, 05 October 11
MINISTRY STICKING TO RAW COMMODITY EXPORT BAN DESPITE INDUSTRY FEARS - JG
The Jakarta Globe, the one of the leading English news paper in Indonesia, reported that, the details of a controversial new regulation that would b ...
Wednesday, 05 October 11
ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC BASINS BECAME TIGHTER FOR PANAMAX LAST WEEK - BRS
A slump for both the Capes and Panamaxes sent the BDI down 1% this week, falling to 1,899 points.
The Capes saw the greatest movement, sliding - ...
Wednesday, 05 October 11
WITH CHINA ON HOLIDAY, DRY BULK MARKET REMAINS STAGNANT - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has remained to healthy levels after last month’s rally, but with China going on holiday this week, things are looking sta ...
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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