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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 12 October 11
CAPESIZE - A SURPRISE JUMP IN RATES - BRS
There was a surge across all sizes last week, resulting in the BDI gaining 101 points to end the week at 2,000 points (+5.3%). The BCI reached 3,218 ...
Wednesday, 12 October 11
CAPESIZE FREIGHT RATES BOUND TO RETREAT FROM 2011 HIGHS ON THE BACK OF TONNAGE OVERSUPPLY SAYS BIMCO
According to Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping, with the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) breaking yet another 2011 high yesterday and ending the se ...
Tuesday, 11 October 11
GLENCORE, SUITOR FOR BUMI PLC? - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, the largest commodities trader in the world, Glencore International Plc, is considering an opportunity to acquire a m ...
Tuesday, 11 October 11
RENUKA COALINDO BUYS JAMBI COAL
PT Renuka Coalindo Tbk, formerly PT Allbond Makmur Usaha Tbk plans to acquire PT Jambi Prima Coal holder of mining concession in Pauh, Sa ...
Monday, 10 October 11
MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL TO BE THE NEW PIRACY HOTSPOT FOR THIS YEAR SAYS MARITIME SECURITY EXPERT - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The Mozambique Channel, as well as the entrance to the Persian Gulf, are expected to become some of the new pirate hotspots for piracy, says Richard ...
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- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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