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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Wednesday, 31 July 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
It was a fairly busy week in the dry S&P market. Despite the ease of Capesize rates which impacted Panamaxes as well, interest from potential b ...
Sunday, 28 July 19
ULTRAMAX - INDONESIAN COAL CARGOES SAW A 63,000DWT SHIP FIXING DELIVERY FOR A SOUTH CHINA TRIP VIA INDONESIA, REDELIVERY CHINA, AT $11,700 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market was a white knuckled ride this past week as a large downside movement shed value quickly leaving many in bewilderment. The ...
Wednesday, 24 July 19
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.27 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 138.78 points Monday, down 0.27 percent week on week.
The index, released by Chi ...
Wednesday, 24 July 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Tonnes of ink has been spent analysing the rebound of the dry bulk market the last weeks with the most representative example being the rising perf ...
Wednesday, 24 July 19
COAL'S DEMISE QUICKENS IN EUROPE AS MARKET SHIFT IDLES PLANTS - BLOOMBERG
Commodity markets are stripping away the case for coal in Europe, moving quicker than government efforts to close the most polluting power plants.
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
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