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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Tuesday, 06 August 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
On the 12th of May four tankers were attacked near the coast of Fujairah. The tankers hit were waiving international flags such as that of No ...
Monday, 05 August 19
SUPRAMAX: COAL FROM INDONESIA TO CHINA PAID AT MID $8,000S ON A 57,000-TONNER DELIVERY SOUTH CHINA - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Having hit a high of $32,963 early last week, the Capesize 5TC now stands at $25,749. This is over 20% of its value lost in 10 days. C ...
Thursday, 01 August 19
PANAMAX: THE SENTIMENT IN THE MARKET IS STILL POSITIVE FOR THE LONGER TERM - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Two weeks ago the 5TC index was at 33,000 USD pd. Since then it has fallen off a bit and has stayed around 27,000 USD pd the last week ...
Thursday, 01 August 19
INDIKA ENERGY REVENUES DECLINE DUE TO LOW COAL PRICES
One of the largest Indonesian integrated energy companies PT Indika Energy Tbk posted revenues of US $ 1,380.4 million, down 4.6% compared to US $ ...
Wednesday, 31 July 19
INDIA'S 2019 THERMAL COAL IMPORTS SEEN AT 180-185 MLN T - WOODMAC
India is expected to import 180-185 million tonnes of thermal coal in 2019, said Dale Hazelton, head of thermal coal at consultancy Wood Mackenzie. ...
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- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
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