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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Friday, 01 May 20
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND TO FALL BY 8% IN Q1 2020 RELATIVE TO Q1 2019 - IEA
We expect global coal demand to fall by 8% in Q1 2020 relative to Q1 2019. This significant drop was driven by lower demand in the electricity sect ...
Friday, 01 May 20
LUKOIL SHARES LUBRICANT EXPERIENCE AFTER FIRST 100 DAYS OF OPERATION ON VLSFO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
After 100 days of VLSFO operation, LUKOIL Marine Lubricants is sharing recent experience on VLSFO operation with NAVIGO M ...
Wednesday, 29 April 20
OIL CLOSES IN ON PEAK OVERSUPPLY - WOOD MACKENZIE
Are we now deep in the abyss? Up to our necks in it, if the oil price is any guide. Brent has now tested sub-US$20/bbl in this downturn and WTI sub ...
Monday, 27 April 20
INCIDENT INVESTIGATION: SEARCH FOR THE CAUSE, NOT THE VILLAIN - GARD
Incident investigations often conclude with placing the blame for an incident on the crew. Causes of the incidents are usually identified as proced ...
Monday, 27 April 20
A 58,000DWT VESSEL WAS FIXED DELIVERY SINGAPORE TRIP VIA INDONESIA, RE-DELIVERY WC INDIA, AT $4,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The tide turned this week for the Capesize market, as voyage rates registered dramatically falling fuel costs. This was led primarily ...
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- White Energy Company Limited
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- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
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- The University of Queensland
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
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