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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Tuesday, 05 May 20
SUPRAMAXES: YTD SLIDE HAS BEEN 45%, WITH THE AVERAGE FOR 2020 TCA HOLDING AT US$5,793 - ALLIED
It has been almost three months since the WHO officially categorized the current coronavirus outbreak as a global pandemic, an outbreak that has br ...
Monday, 04 May 20
U.S. ESTIMATED COAL PRODUCTION FALL 39.4% YEAR ON YEAR IN THE WEEK ENDED APRIL 25 - EIA
Estimated U.S. coal production totaled about 8.6 million short tons (MMst) For the week ended April 25, 2020, says EIA in its latest report.
E ...
Saturday, 02 May 20
SUPRAMAX: ASIA, STRONGER NUMBERS - A 55.000-DWT WAS FIXED FROM INDONESIA TO CHINA IN THE MID $6,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A tepid week for the big ships, as macro concerns continued to weigh heavily on the index. All of the major voyage routes lost value, ...
Friday, 01 May 20
KOSPO INVITED OFFER FOR 5600 NCV COAL FOR Q3 2020 LOADING
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO) has issued an International tender for 260,000 Metric Tons (MT) steam coal for Boryeong Power ...
Friday, 01 May 20
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND TO FALL BY ABOUT 8% IN 2020,THE LARGEST DROP SINCE WORLD WAR II - IEA
We expect global coal demand to fall by about 8% in 2020, the largest drop since World War II, with coal use declining in virtually every sector of ...
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Coal Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Planning Commission, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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