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Wednesday, 06 November 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 With less than two months before the end of the year, the shipping and refining industries have already taken measures and invested to accommodate the IMO 2020 regulations. As the implementation date for the 0.5% sulphur cap approaches, the U.S. EIA expects that the swing in petroleum product pricing will be most acute in 2020 and the effects on prices will be moderate after that. However, the regulations will inevitably affect petroleum supply, demand, and trade flows on a long-term basis while shipowners, operators and charterers around the world are carefully preparing marine fuel supplies ahead.
As already extensively analysed operators of vessels have a few options, from switching to a lower-sulphur fuel or installing scrubbers to even switching to nonpetroleum-based fuels, such as liquefied natural gas (LNG). To enable a prosperous transition the industry demands increased on-board operational expertise and detailed product knowledge both on the supplying and the receiving vessel. Originally MGO was declared the primary winner since most of the bunker products did not met the sulphur content limit of 0.5%. However, with less than two months ahead of the implementation, it seems that the scale of the MGO demand swipe will not be as great as expected. In its place, very-low sulfur fuel oil (VLSFO) has been developed as a dark horse to challenge MGO as a stand-in for high-sulfur fuel oil, with a 3.5% sulfur limit, when the switch is activated.
VLSFO is already available in various locations across Asia, Middle East, Africa and the Americas as of mid-October, while it will be made available to additional ports during November and December. Even though demand up until recently has not been as high we are now seeing both supply and demand rapidly increasing. During the first half of October, supply of VLSFO surpassed demand in many areas and as argued by suppliers, this is because ship-owners that initially wanted to start bunkering VLSFO postponed their purchases for November and December. The market disturbance caused by the transition to IMO 2020 is apparent as the supply side of HSFO has begun running down stocks. Furthermore, tank barges that have been stowing HSFO are being taken out of service to be cleaned and get readied for VLSFO or MGO. Concurrently, suppliers and traders are reluctant to substitute HSFO stocks as they anticipate rapidly declining demand towards the end of 2019. This reduced supply capacity comes at a time when shipping still needs fuel, and the vast majority of bunker demand is still for HSFO.
To conclude, the transition to the 0.50% sulphur limit will cause disruption and more volatility than usual for a while but the market will eventually adapt as it always does. Worldwide, the shipping industry was primarily sceptical about the quality of VLSFO, but as 2020 approaches confidence for VLSFO grows among market members. Operators are projected to lean towards the lower cost option that will replace the 3.6 million barrels per day of HSFO that the shipping industry currently consumes. There is still speculation rather than solid fact about the price differential between high sulphur fuel and VLSFO price in the beginning of 2020, with some analysts predicting a potential range of $40-$200 between the two grades.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 06 August 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
On the 12th of May four tankers were attacked near the coast of Fujairah. The tankers hit were waiving international flags such as that of No ...
Monday, 05 August 19
SUPRAMAX: COAL FROM INDONESIA TO CHINA PAID AT MID $8,000S ON A 57,000-TONNER DELIVERY SOUTH CHINA - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Having hit a high of $32,963 early last week, the Capesize 5TC now stands at $25,749. This is over 20% of its value lost in 10 days. C ...
Thursday, 01 August 19
PANAMAX: THE SENTIMENT IN THE MARKET IS STILL POSITIVE FOR THE LONGER TERM - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Two weeks ago the 5TC index was at 33,000 USD pd. Since then it has fallen off a bit and has stayed around 27,000 USD pd the last week ...
Thursday, 01 August 19
INDIKA ENERGY REVENUES DECLINE DUE TO LOW COAL PRICES
One of the largest Indonesian integrated energy companies PT Indika Energy Tbk posted revenues of US $ 1,380.4 million, down 4.6% compared to US $ ...
Wednesday, 31 July 19
INDIA'S 2019 THERMAL COAL IMPORTS SEEN AT 180-185 MLN T - WOODMAC
India is expected to import 180-185 million tonnes of thermal coal in 2019, said Dale Hazelton, head of thermal coal at consultancy Wood Mackenzie. ...
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- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Coal Association
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
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