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Monday, 14 October 19
WINTER OIL MARKET OUTLOOK - OPEC
 Product markets in the last two months have benefitted from seasonal maintenance which have led to a tighter product market environment, providing some support to product crack spreads and refining margins. With most refineries now back online in all main regions, refinery intakes have risen steadily, to stand some 1.0 mb/d higher in September compared to the same month last year.
As a result of new refining capacity over the last year, refinery runs during winter are likely to reach new record highs, leading to potentially higher supply in the product markets. At the same time, economic headwinds pointing to a slowdown in manufacturing in the OECD may result in a possible decline in consumption of heavier fuels, weighing on the outlook for product markets over the winter season, while increased competition from ethane and LPG may also bite into demand for products including naphtha and transport fuels. In the US, gasoil consumption is expected to receive support from the manufacturing, construction and freight sectors.
Moreover, a seasonal pick up in heating oil demand this winter is expected, despite increasing substitution by natural gas. Jet fuel markets should also remain supported by an uptick in travel activities, particularly in the holiday season. In contrast, the seasonal decline in gasoline demand in the winter months will once again weigh on prices and ultimately refining economics (Graph 1). This may result in higher gasoline exports in 4Q19 to prevent strong inventory builds and to keep gasoline prices stable. Naphtha crack spreads will also come under pressure and suffer losses as strong LPG output, and lower LPG prices in the US continues to compete with naphtha.
US oil demand growth by main petroleum products, mb, y-o-y change In Europe, the slowdown in transportation fuel demand will continue representing a challenge to product markets. Despite a slight pick-up in gasoline consumption in 1H19, mainly in France, unfavourable economic fundamentals have dampened demand in Germany. Moreover, a mild pick up in gasoline powered vehicle sales observed in France, Italy and Spain has been offset by a decline in overall car sales. The pressure in Europe’s product markets could be further exacerbated by new cracking and other upgrading projects in Russia and Belarus, which is projected to increase regional transport fuel production by the end of 2019.
Furthermore, data reflects a declining trend in product demand in the fourth quarter, particularly for naphtha and residual fuel. In Asia, gasoil markets will remain supported by industrial and transportation demand. However, product balances will most likely soften compared with the previous year, once all refineries restore their operation activities in 4Q19, resulting in excess product supply, particularly for gasoline. Concerning the IMO 2020, a combination of declining heavy crude availability, increased refinery conversion capacity, growing appetite for heavy crude, and stricter sulphur limits on marine bunker fuel are likely to lead to rising prices for low sulphur fuel oil (LSFO). At the same time, the declining availability of high sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) could also hold up prices for that product to some degree.
Together with a mismatch in terms of quality between available and required crude slates for refinery intake, this could provide limited support to processing rates as refineries will have to resort to higher intakes to boost fuel oil or compliant marine fuel production. Graph 2: OECD Europe oil demand growth by main petroleum products, mb, y-o-y change Looking ahead, factors such as the onset of the winter season, healthy demand for middle distillates in Asia, and preparations for IMO should support middle-to-heavy product markets in the coming months. At the same time, uncertainties regarding the global economic outlook, declining car sales and fuel substitution programmes in Europe, and higher products supply from Asia could limit the upward trend in the product markets this winter.
Source: OPEC
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Thursday, 10 October 19
THERMAL COAL IMPORT LIKELY TO CROSS 200 MT IN 2019-20 - TIME OF INDIA
The country's overall thermal coal import is likely to cross the 200-million tonnes (MT) mark in the current financial year, according to Icra. ...
Wednesday, 09 October 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As we have already stated in previous insights, we had expected that the recovery on rates and activity across all segments in the offshore market ...
Thursday, 03 October 19
OIL PRICE ASSUMPTIONS UNCHANGED, NBP GAS PRICE LOWERED - FITCH RATINGS PRIMARY - FITCH RATINGS
Our oil price assumptions are unchanged, despite the recent price volatility following the attacks on Saudi Arabia's oil infrastructure, Fitch ...
Thursday, 03 October 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT
Edible oil products across the board are showing healthy amount of export activity, however, rates in most cases are struggling to move accordingly ...
Friday, 27 September 19
LOWDOWN ON INCOTERMS 2020 OVERHAUL - BALTIC EXCHANGE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
This ninth revision of Incoterms is changed in style and substance. The revisions improve certain aspects of Incoterms 20 ...
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Showing 1321 to 1325 news of total 6871 |
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The University of Queensland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
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