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Wednesday, 10 April 19
CHINA'S GROWING THERMAL COAL SUPPLY TO PRESSURE EXPORTERS - FITCH RATINGS
 Growing Chinese thermal coal supply is likely to lead to further tightening of import controls by the government, putting pressure on seaborne coal prices and adding order uncertainties for exporters, Fitch Ratings and CRU say. Miners from Australian and Indonesia are the most exposed, but the credit impact is muted thanks to sufficient rating headroom as we have already incorporated a downward pricing trend in our rating assumptions.
The Chinese coal market’s tightness has eased due to a combination of weaker demand and improved domestic supplies. Chinese coal demand has declined as residential power consumption reduced at the end of the winter heating season in mid-March and hydro supply increased in south China due to heavy rains. Chinese domestic coal supply has gradually improved in recent quarters as the pace of capacity closures has slowed and incremental capacity has been expedited to bring down fuel costs, according to CRU. Inventories at the six main power producing groups edged up to 16.0 million tonnes in late March, 13% higher than the average for 2018 of 14.1 million tonnes.
Growing domestic supply is likely to prompt the Chinese government to tighten control over thermal coal imports. This would imply higher order volatility and risks for seaborne coal suppliers targeting the Chinese market, which are mainly miners in Australia and Indonesia. The Chinese government appears to have adopted an on-and-off importing policy since 2017 by implementing stricter checks when domestic supply is sufficient and speeding up clearing when domestic supply is tight. Australian coal cargoes, for example, have been facing increasing delays clearing customs at Chinese ports since February, according to CRU.
While seaborne coal remains price competitive compared to domestic coal, risks of long clearing time and import bans may discourage Chinese consumers from using seaborne coal, especially when domestic supply is sufficient.
Australian coal producers are likely to face the risk of order cancellation, and to some degree, be forced to compete for sales in alternative countries. This may lead to weak prices in the seaborne market, especially for the mid-content-value coal of around 5,500kcal/kg that Chinese importers typically buy from Australia.
Imports from Indonesia have been less affected by the recent Chinese controls, according to press reports, although Indonesian producers are still likely to come under pressure to find new markets due to overall declining Chinese demand for seaborne coal, as well as increasing Indonesian domestic output, and weaker-than-expected domestic demand.
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Monday, 23 August 21
CHINESE COAL PRODUCTION RISES 4.9 PCT IN 1ST 7 MONTHS OF 2021 - NBS
Official figures demonstrated that the Chinese raw coal production surged 4.9 percent annually to 2.26 billion tonnes in the January-July period of ...
Friday, 20 August 21
ARE WE LOOKING AT THE NEXT DRY BULK SUPER CYCLE? IS IT EVEN A CYCLE? - BIMCO
Throughout the first half of the year, talk of a new dry bulk super cycle has been on many lips as commodity prices have soared to multi-year highs ...
Friday, 20 August 21
BIMCO'S SHIPPING NUMBER OF THE WEEK: CHINESE IRON ORE IMPORTS FALL TO 14-MONTH LOW IN JULY - PETER SAND
Chinese iron ore imports fell to 88.5 million tonnes in July, the lowest level since May 2020. The fall in July means that accumulated imports are ...
Friday, 20 August 21
SOARING DEMAND FOR THE WORLD’S LEAST-LIKED COMMODITY SEES THERMAL COAL PRICES JUMP 106% THIS YEAR - CNBC
Soaring electricity demand, infrastructure woes and a surge in global gas prices have triggered an extraordinary rally for the world’s least ...
Friday, 20 August 21
CHINA’S IRON ORE IMPORTS CONTRACTED YEAR-ON-YEAR BY 2% IN 2018 AND GREW YEAR-ON-YEAR BY ONLY 1% IN 2019 - COMMODORE RESEARCH
Examining the last ten years of China’s crude steel output and iron ore imports shows that China’s iron ore imports have stayed r ...
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- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Planning Commission, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PTC India Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
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