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Friday, 22 February 19
AUSTRALIAN HIGH CV THERMAL COAL PRICES AT 19-MONTH LOW, BUT NOT FOR LONG - WOOD MACKENZIE
 The benchmark Newcastle high energy thermal coal price has fallen from US$100/tonne at the turn of the new year to US$88/tonne. Thermal coal has been hit in early February due to seasonality of purchasing in the lead up to Chinese New Year and customs delays impacting Australian vessels into China. Will this move be another short-term blip and mirror the volatility seen last year, or is a broader correction at play?
Australian high CV thermal coal supply to remain tight
In 2019, demand growth in the Asia-Pacific market will require an extra 3 million tonnes of bituminous thermal coal. By 2023, we anticipate a further 34 Mtpa of bituminous coal demand in the region, led by India, Vietnam, South Korea, Pakistan and Malaysia.
While demand is increasing, Australian high CV thermal coal supply fell last year and will only partially recover this year. The recovery might be further constrained should producers target more semi-soft sales.
The ramp up of MACH Energy’s Mt Pleasant coal mine in New South Wales caters for nearly all the change, with high CV supply (ex. Mt Pleasant) essentially flat over 2019-21.
High CV supply could retreat again in 2022 due to lower output at Glencore’s Mt Owen mine and a possible closure at Liddell. Coal quality at BHP’s Mt Arthur mine is also expected to gradually decline. By 2023, we see a growing likelihood of a return to 2018 production levels.
Australian high CV thermal coal supply 2018-2023
Mine performance and quality issues limit supply response
The fall in Australian high CV thermal coal supply helped prices move nearly US$20/tonne higher in 2018. Widening price spreads between high CV and high ash thermal coal begged questions as to why we weren’t seeing a supply response? Part of that answer rests on specific constraints at a few large thermal coal mines in Australia, which contrary to expectations of growth, actually recorded declines in output. Some mines had short-term sequencing changes, while others battled with falling product quality. Pricing differentials between high CV thermal and semi-soft also played a part, with lower semi-soft supply offsetting the fall in high CV supply.
Two of the largest mines in New South Wales, BHP’s Mt Arthur and Yancoal/Glencore’s HVO, reported declines in output in 2018 of 4% and 11% respectively. In Mt Arthur’s case, saleable output was constrained by a lower washing yield, declining coal quality and adverse weather. At HVO, mine plans had been remodelled following a strategic review of operations following the takeover from Rio Tinto. Meanwhile, output at Whitehaven’s underground Narrabri mine fell nearly 30% as it worked around a geological fault. We also understand a number of Glencore’s mines were technically constrained in their ability to increase higher CV volumes by washing capacity.
Our expectations for near term thermal coal supply growth have moderated given recent M&A and an increasing focus on capital allocation. The latest plan at HVO is to gradually recover to 15 Mtpa with a focus on efficiency and productivity improvement, rather than further growth to 17 Mtpa. At Mt Arthur, we expect production to peak at a lower rate of 21 Mtpa, down from 22.5 Mtpa, given updated capital plans and optimisation of the operation.
On a price standpoint, we expect prices to recover and average US$98/tonne this year, down from US$107/tonne last year. Prices will remain elevated in 2019 given fundamental support for high energy thermal coal indexed to the GlobalCoal 6,000 kcal specification (14% max ash ar, 5,850 kcal/kg min nar).
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Friday, 28 June 24
INDIAN POWER STATIONS STOCKED WITH BUMPER COAL SUPPLY AS TRANSPORT WOES EASE - BUSINESS STANDARD
Even as power demand has touched a historic high of 250 gigawatts (Gw) amid sweltering heat this June, India’s power stations are stocked wit ...
Friday, 28 June 24
INDIA'S CY23 COAL USE LARGER THAN NORTH AMERICA, EUROPE COMBINED - THE HINDU
For the first time, India’s coal consumption surpassed that of North America and Europe combined in the calendar year 2023, said Energy Insti ...
Monday, 24 June 24
PLN'S FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY RESTS ON ACCELERATED COAL RETIREMENT AND RENEWABLES DEPLOYMENT - MUTYA YUSTIKA
On 28 May 2024, Indonesia’s national electricity utility, PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN), released its financial report for 2023. Althoug ...
Monday, 24 June 24
INDIA'S COAL-BASED POWER DEMAND AT ALL-TIME HIGH, GOVERNMENT SAYS - REUTERS
India’s demand for coal-based power has risen by 7.3% this fiscal year to an all-time high, the government said in a statement on Wednesday.
...
Monday, 24 June 24
CHINA'S COAL INDUSTRY TURNS GREENER THROUGH INNOVATIVE APPROACHES - PEOPLE'S DAILY
At an opencast mine operated by Inner Mongolia Pingzhuang Coal Group Co. Ltd., a subsidiary of CHN Energy Investment Group (CHN Energy), a 14-meter ...
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Showing 11 to 15 news of total 6871 |
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- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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