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Tuesday, 11 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
 A lot of discussions have been made as to the effects of the IMO 2020 regulation on OPEX levels, investment feasibility of scrubbers and the benefits of alternative fuel usage. Aside from all of these, there is another reading to this new regulation. New oil products (ultra-low sulphur fuel oil) as well as the much larger quantities of MGO that will be needed from the shipping industry will reshape trade patterns around the globe. The first effect could well be depicted in crude oil trade due to shifts in refinery utilization, said Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping in Allied latest weekly research report.
Specifically, demand for light sweet crude oil will move upward as it will be required from the non-upgraded refineries, while it is possible to see a negative trend in the demand for heavy sour grades. The second part is the need for redistribution of the low-sulphur fuels, in order to properly cover the global bunkering markets.
Yiannis Vamvakas further noted that, a side-effect to this could well be the requirement for floating storage for both clean (building of inventories), as well as dirty products (storage of the excess heavy fuel oil produced). Demand for HSFO is projected to recover in the long-term, as scrubber-equipped ships will continue using it. However, given that the IMO expects around 3,800 vessels to be fitted with scrubbers by 2020, it looks as though these vessels will remain a relatively small percentage of the global fleet. Many refineries have proceeded with their investment plans, adding capacity in order to produce more middle distillates, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasting that an additional 7 million barrels per day will come into production by 2023.
However, Yiannis Vamvakas says, there are also several refineries that have not yet fully prepared for the IMO 2020 regulation, possible creating a shortfall of the required fuels in certain regions. All in all, the most modernized refineries with extensive vacuum resid processing capacity will benefit most from the new regulation, as they will be able to produce larger quantities of required fuels, gaining market share in the marine sector. Based on these facts, demand will increase in regions were the more modern refineries reside, modifying current trade routes. According to a Reuters survey, around 66% of 33 questioned refineries will continue produce HSFO in 2020, but 70% of these stated that they will reduce their output. A decline has already been reported in fuel oil inventories, depicting the fact that refineries have started to cut output in anticipation of the regulation. However, it’s worth mentioning that if output cuts prove to be bigger than the consumption fall, prices will see a significant upsurge. With regards to different geographical locations, most of the US refineries have been upgraded by the US shale boom, giving them a head start, but they are still dependent on heavy fuel imports, which is used for blending purposes. This means that further investments will be required for adding de-sulphurisation capacity.
In Europe, the report says, the coastal refineries are better prepared compared to their mainland peers, as their main oil source is crude from North and West Africa, regions with less sour oil. In Middle East and China, most of the refineries do not have the capacity of de-sulphurisation needed to produce the new low-sulphur fuels, making new investments necessary. In almost all cases a significant change is to take place in the shipping industry.
This change can be seen as a threat, an opportunity or as a combination of these two. The modification of crude oil/oil products trade flows should benefit owners and refineries that are flexible and adaptable enough for the new regulations, while it may be a significant threat for market participants that will choose to fall behind their competition Yiannis Vamvakas concluded in his latest report.
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Tuesday, 29 January 19
HARD COAL BEARS THE BRUNT OF THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE COMMISSION GROWTH STRUCTURAL CHANGE AND EMPLOYMENT - VDKI
Press Release: Hard coal bears the brunt of the recommendations of the Commission Growth Structural change and employment.
In its fi ...
Tuesday, 29 January 19
CHINA HAS BEEN THE TOP DRIVER OF GLOBAL GROWTH FOR NEARLY TWO DECADES - ALLIED
China has been the top driver of global growth for nearly two decades now, pushing demand for seaborne trade and being the key influencer for deman ...
Saturday, 26 January 19
SUPRAMAX: NICKEL ORE RUNS SAW A 56K DWT VESSEL, DELIVERY PHILIPPINES, FIXED FOR A TRIP TO CHINA AT $6K - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A week of dashed hopes for owners as the optimism evident the previous week evaporated. Rates slipped on all routes and underlying thr ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
ANOTHER DISAPPOINTING WEEK FOR PANAMAX OWNERS; MARKET CONTINUES DOWN IN BOTH BASINS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The week has been marked by low activity and dropping rates in both basins. As usual, supply additions have increased at the beginning ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER INVITED BIDS FOR 960K MT OF 4600 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 4,600 kcal/kg NCV low calo ...
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- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
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