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Wednesday, 05 September 18
ASIAN DEMAND COULD CREATE DEFICIT IN GLOBAL LNG MARKET - FITCH RATINGS
 Growing gas demand from Asia, particularly from China, could swing the liquefied natural gas (LNG) market into a deficit by 2022-2025, Fitch Ratings says.
Market expectations of oversupply and weak gas prices have curtailed new investment activity in the sector in the past two years. Limited capacity additions beyond 2020 should be positive for spot prices, especially in Asia and Europe. This will benefit LNG projects with significant uncontracted volumes and those linked to gas spot prices.
An unprecedented wave of new projects becoming operational in 2016-2019 has not resulted in, and is unlikely to result in a material surplus in the LNG market in the medium term. Additional LNG volumes continue to find a home across a diverse array of countries and new buyers, and under more flexible contracts.
Funding for new LNG capacity is often structured as non-recourse project finance and is dependent on sponsors’ ability to secure long-term offtake agreements, which buyers have been less willing to sign in anticipation of larger volumes of uncontracted LNG coming to the market. Therefore, sponsors may need to commit a higher equity contribution to get funding for LNG projects, which will continue to delay final investment decisions (FIDs) for some time. A typical timeframe for a new LNG project to become operational following the FID is four to five years. Due to limited new FIDs very few new projects will come on stream in the early 2020s. FIDs in the next one to two years are likely to be limited to projects with lower capital and operating costs given constraints on the funding side.
We expect gas demand to continue its robust growth in the coming years, mostly driven by Asian markets that account for two-thirds of overall LNG demand. This is due a combination of healthy power demand growth in the region, natural gas being the fossil fuel of choice in pursuit of curbing air pollution, and the backlash against nuclear energy. Japan is currently the largest LNG importer, but China is catching up quickly and becoming the major market for LNG.
The LNG market could shift into deficit by 2022-2025. Gas pricing is therefore likely to improve in the major importer markets, benefiting LNG projects relying on spot and hub pricing and entities with significant LNG trading portfolios. We also expect oil companies to gradually return to their earlier LNG ambitions. This includes oil majors, like Shell, BP and Total, most of which emphasise the growing role of gas in the global energy mix.
The LNG market is still in its formative stage. Pricing mechanisms, contract terms and financing structures continue to evolve. Long-term oil-linked contracts are giving way to increased trading activity, which represented around a quarter of all new contracts in 2017, according to IGU World Gas LNG Report, compared to just 1% in 2012. New large LNG projects still rely on long-term contracts in order to secure financing. However, elsewhere contracts are becoming shorter, and the quality of counterparties is declining. Contract prices are increasingly de-linked from oil pricing with a growing focus on spot and hub-based gas pricing.
Fitch-rated rated LNG projects will not be significantly affected by the trend towards increasing commoditisation. In the US, rated projects, such as Cameron LNG and Sabine Pass, benefit from robust contractual frameworks that provide mitigation to completion risks and often employ tolling or tolling-like arrangements that protect cash flows from volume and price risks. RasGas in Qatar mostly relies on long-term oil-linked contracts.
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Wednesday, 22 August 18
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 480K TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL FOR BORYEONG POWER PLANT & SHIN BORYEONG POWER PLANTS
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a tender for 480,000 mt of min. 5700 NAR coal of Australian origi ...
Wednesday, 22 August 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE PANAGOPOULOS
During the most quite week of the summer period we witnessed a trade war between United States and Turkey. A battle, which started with the arrest ...
Monday, 20 August 18
SUPRAMAX: OVERALL IT WAS A POSITIVE WEEK FOR THE BSI INDEX WITH GAINS MADE - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A week of largely unfulfilled expectations with holidays again curbing activity. Rates remained essentially healthy, but despite bad wea ...
Friday, 17 August 18
DO ARBITRATION AGREEMENTS IN BILLS OF LADING BIND THEIR HOLDERS? - WFW
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Bills of lading are a crucial part of the security package traditionally sought by trade finance providers.
...
Friday, 17 August 18
MALAYSIA'S MANJUNG 4 - WORLD COAL ASSOCIATION
According to the IEA’s Energy Access Outlook 2017 report, nearly all of those who gained access to electricity worldwide in the last 16 years ...
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
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