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Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
 Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in its latest Mineral & Energy outlook.
NAB further sais, Hard coking coal prices rose above US$200 a tonne in mid- June (due to port and rail maintenance issues), while thermal coal prices pushed above US$110 a tonne (the highest level since early 2012). Spot prices for thermal coal may become increasingly important – given the breakdown of the traditional Japanese financial year contract mechanism, with Tohoku Electric Power Co pulling out of negotiations with miner Glencore (the two parties who negotiate the agreement).
According to NAB economists, Asia is the key region for seaborne coal demand – with China, India, Japan and South Korea accounting for almost 60% of global imports in 2017. The growth potential of the latter two is somewhat limited longer term (given the mature nature of their economies), while rapidly growing India is increasing its domestic supply, aiming to develop self-sufficiency in coal supply.
China’s coal import trends have been mixed in 2018. NAB noted that, in the first five months, imports of metallurgical coal fell sharply – down 25% to 22.6 million tonnes, while thermal coal imports rose by 20% to 97.4 million tonnes. In a large part the latter reflected a particularly cold winter (boosting demand across January through March) and poor availability of natural gas.
Short term supply issues have impacted coal markets in recent years – particularly hard coking coal exports from Queensland. A dispute between the privately owned rail operator and the Queensland Competition Authority regarding its regulated maximum allowable revenue between 2017 and 2021 could limit the state’s coal exports in coming years – adding some upside risk to our price forecasts, the report says.
Australia’s total coal exports have increased strongly in the first four months of 2018 – albeit this reflects the recovery from Tropical Cyclone Debbie that severely disrupted metallurgical coal exports in April 2017. Thermal coal volumes rose by 0.8% yoy to 64.8 million tonnes, while metallurgical coal exports rose by 13% yoy to 55.6 million tonnes. That said, metallurgical coal exports remain well below the levels recorded in the first four months of 2014 through 2016.
Coal prices are expected to ease from current levels – as a softening China’s steel sector reduces coking coal demand and supply side concerns ease. We expect hard coking coal prices to average US$186 a tonne in 2018, a decrease of almost 15% (reflecting impact of supply shortfalls in 2017). In contrast, average thermal coal prices are forecast to increase by 12% to US$98 a tonne, the report says.
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Friday, 10 August 18
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TO DECLINE BY 1.8% IN 2019 BECAUSE COAL EXPORTS AND COAL CONSUMPTION ARE BOTH FORECAST TO DECREASE - EIA
EIA forecasts U.S. coal production will decline by 1.1% to 766 million short tons (MMst) in 2018 despite a 5.7% (6 MMst) increase in coal exports.
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Thursday, 09 August 18
RIO TINTO COMPLETES SALE OF REMAINING COAL ASSETS
Rio Tinto has completed the sale of its remaining coal assets in Queensland, Australia, for $3.95 billion.
According to a noted post ...
Wednesday, 08 August 18
CHINA DEMANDS PREMIUM IRON ORE, COAL; MINERS MIXED IMPACT - FITCH RATINGS
China’s stricter environmental regulations and structural changes in its steelmaking industry boosts ongoing demand for high-quality iron ore ...
Wednesday, 08 August 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER WHITTY
Singapore's shipyard business has evolved over the decades, from shipbuilding and repairs to rig building. It's now evolving again, to cate ...
Friday, 03 August 18
PHEW! ASIA, EUROPE HEATWAVE PUSHES AUSTRALIA COAL PRICES TO 6-YEAR HIGH: REUTERS
Australian thermal coal prices have hit fresh six-year highs as a heatwave across the northern hemisphere has triggered a spike in demand for coal- ...
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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