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Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
 Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in its latest Mineral & Energy outlook.
NAB further sais, Hard coking coal prices rose above US$200 a tonne in mid- June (due to port and rail maintenance issues), while thermal coal prices pushed above US$110 a tonne (the highest level since early 2012). Spot prices for thermal coal may become increasingly important – given the breakdown of the traditional Japanese financial year contract mechanism, with Tohoku Electric Power Co pulling out of negotiations with miner Glencore (the two parties who negotiate the agreement).
According to NAB economists, Asia is the key region for seaborne coal demand – with China, India, Japan and South Korea accounting for almost 60% of global imports in 2017. The growth potential of the latter two is somewhat limited longer term (given the mature nature of their economies), while rapidly growing India is increasing its domestic supply, aiming to develop self-sufficiency in coal supply.
China’s coal import trends have been mixed in 2018. NAB noted that, in the first five months, imports of metallurgical coal fell sharply – down 25% to 22.6 million tonnes, while thermal coal imports rose by 20% to 97.4 million tonnes. In a large part the latter reflected a particularly cold winter (boosting demand across January through March) and poor availability of natural gas.
Short term supply issues have impacted coal markets in recent years – particularly hard coking coal exports from Queensland. A dispute between the privately owned rail operator and the Queensland Competition Authority regarding its regulated maximum allowable revenue between 2017 and 2021 could limit the state’s coal exports in coming years – adding some upside risk to our price forecasts, the report says.
Australia’s total coal exports have increased strongly in the first four months of 2018 – albeit this reflects the recovery from Tropical Cyclone Debbie that severely disrupted metallurgical coal exports in April 2017. Thermal coal volumes rose by 0.8% yoy to 64.8 million tonnes, while metallurgical coal exports rose by 13% yoy to 55.6 million tonnes. That said, metallurgical coal exports remain well below the levels recorded in the first four months of 2014 through 2016.
Coal prices are expected to ease from current levels – as a softening China’s steel sector reduces coking coal demand and supply side concerns ease. We expect hard coking coal prices to average US$186 a tonne in 2018, a decrease of almost 15% (reflecting impact of supply shortfalls in 2017). In contrast, average thermal coal prices are forecast to increase by 12% to US$98 a tonne, the report says.
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Thursday, 17 December 20
CHINA'S BAN IS LESS OF A THREAT TO AUSTRALIA'S COAL INDUSTRY THAN INTERNATIONAL CLIMATE AMBITION - IEEFA
Australian coal exporters will survive this near-term political fight but there are longterm structural headwinds
The decision by Ch ...
Thursday, 17 December 20
BUMA SIGNED US$1.0 BILLION WORTH OF EXTENSION CONTRACT WITH BERAU COAL
PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama, subsidiary of PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk., has extended its mining services contracts with PT Berau Coal, in relation ...
Wednesday, 16 December 20
INDONESIA 2020 COAL CONSUMPTION ESTIMATED AT 140-145 MLN TONNES - OFFICIAL, REUTERS REPORTED
Indonesia’s domestic coal consumption is estimated at 140-145 million tonnes this year, Dodik Ariyanto, an official at the energy ministry, t ...
Wednesday, 16 December 20
RUSSIA REVISES DOWN EXPORT EXPECTATION - FITCH
The Ministry of Economy of Russia, the world’s third largest thermal coal exporting country, released its annual forecasts ...
Wednesday, 16 December 20
INDIAN COAL IMPORTS TO REMAIN SUBDUED - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Rating commented on Indian Coal Imports, Fitch said, coal imports by Indian utilities fell by about 24% yoy to 44 million tonnes (mt) i ...
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- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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