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Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
 Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in its latest Mineral & Energy outlook.
NAB further sais, Hard coking coal prices rose above US$200 a tonne in mid- June (due to port and rail maintenance issues), while thermal coal prices pushed above US$110 a tonne (the highest level since early 2012). Spot prices for thermal coal may become increasingly important – given the breakdown of the traditional Japanese financial year contract mechanism, with Tohoku Electric Power Co pulling out of negotiations with miner Glencore (the two parties who negotiate the agreement).
According to NAB economists, Asia is the key region for seaborne coal demand – with China, India, Japan and South Korea accounting for almost 60% of global imports in 2017. The growth potential of the latter two is somewhat limited longer term (given the mature nature of their economies), while rapidly growing India is increasing its domestic supply, aiming to develop self-sufficiency in coal supply.
China’s coal import trends have been mixed in 2018. NAB noted that, in the first five months, imports of metallurgical coal fell sharply – down 25% to 22.6 million tonnes, while thermal coal imports rose by 20% to 97.4 million tonnes. In a large part the latter reflected a particularly cold winter (boosting demand across January through March) and poor availability of natural gas.
Short term supply issues have impacted coal markets in recent years – particularly hard coking coal exports from Queensland. A dispute between the privately owned rail operator and the Queensland Competition Authority regarding its regulated maximum allowable revenue between 2017 and 2021 could limit the state’s coal exports in coming years – adding some upside risk to our price forecasts, the report says.
Australia’s total coal exports have increased strongly in the first four months of 2018 – albeit this reflects the recovery from Tropical Cyclone Debbie that severely disrupted metallurgical coal exports in April 2017. Thermal coal volumes rose by 0.8% yoy to 64.8 million tonnes, while metallurgical coal exports rose by 13% yoy to 55.6 million tonnes. That said, metallurgical coal exports remain well below the levels recorded in the first four months of 2014 through 2016.
Coal prices are expected to ease from current levels – as a softening China’s steel sector reduces coking coal demand and supply side concerns ease. We expect hard coking coal prices to average US$186 a tonne in 2018, a decrease of almost 15% (reflecting impact of supply shortfalls in 2017). In contrast, average thermal coal prices are forecast to increase by 12% to US$98 a tonne, the report says.
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Monday, 21 December 20
COAL'S PARTIAL RECOVERY IS SET TO FADE AFTER 2021 - IEA
Global coal consumption is estimated to have fallen by 7%, or over 500 million tonnes, between 2018 in 2020. A decline of this size over a two-year ...
Monday, 21 December 20
A REBOUND IN GLOBAL COAL DEMAND IN 2021 IS SET TO BE SHORT-LIVED, BUT NO IMMEDIATE DECLINE IN SIGHT - IEA
After a major drop in recent years, global coal demand is forecast to rise by 2.6% in 2021 before flattening out to 2025
A global ec ...
Friday, 18 December 20
AUSTRALIA PM WARNS OF ‘LOSE-LOSE’ IN ANY CHINA COAL SHIFT - REUTERS
Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison said any shift by China away from importing high quality Australian coal would be a “lose-lose&rdquo ...
Friday, 18 December 20
BIG OIL AND COAL EXPORTERS FACE RECKONING AS PARIS AGREEMENT TURNS FIVE - CNA
On Dec 12, more than 70 global leaders came together at the UN’s Climate Ambition Summit, marking the fifth anniversary of the Paris Agreemen ...
Friday, 18 December 20
SOUTH AFRICAN COAL EXPORTERS LARGELY DEPENDENT ON THE ASIAN MARKETS - BANCHERO COSTA
South Africa is the fourth largest exporter of coal in the world, after Australia, Indonesia and Russia. In calendar 2019 the country exported a to ...
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- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
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