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Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
 Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in its latest Mineral & Energy outlook.
NAB further sais, Hard coking coal prices rose above US$200 a tonne in mid- June (due to port and rail maintenance issues), while thermal coal prices pushed above US$110 a tonne (the highest level since early 2012). Spot prices for thermal coal may become increasingly important – given the breakdown of the traditional Japanese financial year contract mechanism, with Tohoku Electric Power Co pulling out of negotiations with miner Glencore (the two parties who negotiate the agreement).
According to NAB economists, Asia is the key region for seaborne coal demand – with China, India, Japan and South Korea accounting for almost 60% of global imports in 2017. The growth potential of the latter two is somewhat limited longer term (given the mature nature of their economies), while rapidly growing India is increasing its domestic supply, aiming to develop self-sufficiency in coal supply.
China’s coal import trends have been mixed in 2018. NAB noted that, in the first five months, imports of metallurgical coal fell sharply – down 25% to 22.6 million tonnes, while thermal coal imports rose by 20% to 97.4 million tonnes. In a large part the latter reflected a particularly cold winter (boosting demand across January through March) and poor availability of natural gas.
Short term supply issues have impacted coal markets in recent years – particularly hard coking coal exports from Queensland. A dispute between the privately owned rail operator and the Queensland Competition Authority regarding its regulated maximum allowable revenue between 2017 and 2021 could limit the state’s coal exports in coming years – adding some upside risk to our price forecasts, the report says.
Australia’s total coal exports have increased strongly in the first four months of 2018 – albeit this reflects the recovery from Tropical Cyclone Debbie that severely disrupted metallurgical coal exports in April 2017. Thermal coal volumes rose by 0.8% yoy to 64.8 million tonnes, while metallurgical coal exports rose by 13% yoy to 55.6 million tonnes. That said, metallurgical coal exports remain well below the levels recorded in the first four months of 2014 through 2016.
Coal prices are expected to ease from current levels – as a softening China’s steel sector reduces coking coal demand and supply side concerns ease. We expect hard coking coal prices to average US$186 a tonne in 2018, a decrease of almost 15% (reflecting impact of supply shortfalls in 2017). In contrast, average thermal coal prices are forecast to increase by 12% to US$98 a tonne, the report says.
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Thursday, 25 January 24
THE RED SEA ESCALATION IMPLICATIONS ON GLOBAL SEABORNE TRADE - MARIA BERTZELETOU
In recent days, discussions have intensified about the potential impact on the seaborne trade and ton-miles due to the evolving dynamics of market ...
Thursday, 25 January 24
RED SEA SHIPPING DISRUPTIONS KEEP GEOPOLITICAL PREMIUM FOR COMMODITIES - FITCH RATINGS
Shipping disruptions and re-routing away from the Red Sea will maintain the geopolitical premium in the main commodity markets, including for oil a ...
Friday, 19 January 24
INDONESIA TARGETS 710 MLN METRIC TONS COAL OUTPUT IN 2024 AFTER RECORD 2023 - REUTERS
Indonesia, a major thermal coal exporter, aims to produce 710 million metric tons of coal in 2024, its mining minister said on Monday, after postin ...
Friday, 19 January 24
DRUMMOND COLOMBIA COAL OUTPUT ROSE 7.1% IN 2023 - REUTERS
Coal production from miner Drummond’s Colombia operations rose 7.1% in 2023 to 29.5 million metric tons, while exports declined by 2.6% to 27 ...
Friday, 19 January 24
CHINA'S 2023 COAL OUTPUT HITS RECORD HIGH - REUTERS
China’s coal output reached a record high in 2023, data from the statistics bureau showed on Wednesday, amid an ongoing focus on energy secur ...
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- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The University of Queensland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- White Energy Company Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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