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Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
 Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in its latest Mineral & Energy outlook.
NAB further sais, Hard coking coal prices rose above US$200 a tonne in mid- June (due to port and rail maintenance issues), while thermal coal prices pushed above US$110 a tonne (the highest level since early 2012). Spot prices for thermal coal may become increasingly important – given the breakdown of the traditional Japanese financial year contract mechanism, with Tohoku Electric Power Co pulling out of negotiations with miner Glencore (the two parties who negotiate the agreement).
According to NAB economists, Asia is the key region for seaborne coal demand – with China, India, Japan and South Korea accounting for almost 60% of global imports in 2017. The growth potential of the latter two is somewhat limited longer term (given the mature nature of their economies), while rapidly growing India is increasing its domestic supply, aiming to develop self-sufficiency in coal supply.
China’s coal import trends have been mixed in 2018. NAB noted that, in the first five months, imports of metallurgical coal fell sharply – down 25% to 22.6 million tonnes, while thermal coal imports rose by 20% to 97.4 million tonnes. In a large part the latter reflected a particularly cold winter (boosting demand across January through March) and poor availability of natural gas.
Short term supply issues have impacted coal markets in recent years – particularly hard coking coal exports from Queensland. A dispute between the privately owned rail operator and the Queensland Competition Authority regarding its regulated maximum allowable revenue between 2017 and 2021 could limit the state’s coal exports in coming years – adding some upside risk to our price forecasts, the report says.
Australia’s total coal exports have increased strongly in the first four months of 2018 – albeit this reflects the recovery from Tropical Cyclone Debbie that severely disrupted metallurgical coal exports in April 2017. Thermal coal volumes rose by 0.8% yoy to 64.8 million tonnes, while metallurgical coal exports rose by 13% yoy to 55.6 million tonnes. That said, metallurgical coal exports remain well below the levels recorded in the first four months of 2014 through 2016.
Coal prices are expected to ease from current levels – as a softening China’s steel sector reduces coking coal demand and supply side concerns ease. We expect hard coking coal prices to average US$186 a tonne in 2018, a decrease of almost 15% (reflecting impact of supply shortfalls in 2017). In contrast, average thermal coal prices are forecast to increase by 12% to US$98 a tonne, the report says.
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Wednesday, 31 January 24
CHINA'S INNER MONGOLIA COAL OUTPUT HIT 1.21B TONS IN 2023 - XINHUA
North China’s Inner Mongolia autonomous region churned out 1.21 billion tons of coal in 2023 as it strives to guarantee the country’s e ...
Wednesday, 31 January 24
GAS EXPORTS COST U.S. CONSUMERS MORE THAN $100 BILLION OVER 16-MONTH PERIOD - IEEFA
Limited Demand Growth Could Dampen the Dry Bulk Market in the Coming Months BIMCOStarting in late 2021—before its invasion of Ukraine—R ...
Tuesday, 30 January 24
LIMITED DEMAND GROWTH COULD DAMPEN THE DRY BULK MARKET IN THE COMING MONTHS - BIMCO
Demand
In our base scenario, we expect cargo demand to grow by 0-1% in 2024 and 0.5-1.5% in 2025. This is a 0.5 percentage point reduction for ...
Friday, 26 January 24
RED SEA DIVERSIONS ADD NEARLY A MILLION DOLLARS PER VOYAGE TO SHIPPING COSTS WHILE DOUBLING TRANSIT TIME - LSEG
The incremental costs of diverting a tanker from Asia to NW Europe via the Cape of Good Hope is accounting for an extra $932,905 USD per voyage whi ...
Friday, 26 January 24
HARD COAL GUARDIAN ANGEL OF THE ENERGY SUPPLY - GERMANY COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
- No security of supply without hard coal
- The Substitute Power Plant Provision Act (EKBG) must be extended
- Higher grid fees due to the ...
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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