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Tuesday, 14 March 17
ORDERBOOK-TO-FEET RATIO DECREASING; THE FREIGHT MARKET IMPROVING
 It seems as though the renewed optimism that has arisen from the recent upward trends being noted in the freight market, the dry bulk market has been set alight, said Allied Shipping in its latest weekly report.
According to George Lazaridis Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations of Allied, there has been a growing bullish vibe being felt for several months now in this sector, generated by the successive decreases being seen in the orderbook-to-fleet ratio during the course of the past year and all indicators in the freight market pointing to an improved balance. He further noted that the order book to fleet ratio for the dry bulk segment as a whole has now dropped to 7.72%, the lowest figure we have seen in over two decades now. This plays an important role in dissipating concerns over the glut in tonnage supply that we have seen in the market, though this is only half the picture. During the course of 2016, many viewed the excessively low earnings being a directly caused by the excessive number of new buildings being delivered. Having witnessed both the drop in the order book and at the same time a considerable improvement in freight rates, one can easily make the presumption that the supply-demand balance in the market is improving and at a fairly good pace. During the course of 2017, freight rates have held at levels well above what we were seeing back in 2016 and even 2015, while the recent rally that boosted the Baltic Dry Index to above 1,000 points before the start of the grain season in the Atlantic, has only re-enforced the bullish views that have been held by many in this regard.
George Lazaridis further said, it is no surprise therefore that we have seen buyers quickly flocking back into the secondhand market with fears that they will “lose” the opportunities that are still present in the market. Despite the fact that prices have on average risen by around 50% since the low levels of March 2016, asset prices can still be considered to be fairly competitive compared to what we have seen historically since the late 90’s. As such and with earnings now providing the promise of better returns and positive cash flows for new purchases, you can see that there is excess possibility for further price gains to be noted over the coming months. What’s more is that during the time period where we faced some of the biggest difficulties in the freight market, newbuilding prices continued to hold at abnormally high levels compared to equivalent periods in the past. As such secondhand asset prices are at an even higher the normal discount against what it costs to construct a similar vessel. This leaves the conclusion that if earnings continue to stay at “good” levels it will be hard to see similarly low price levels in the future for similarly aged vessels.
All these conclusions are based on the assumption that we have reached a balance in the market and that demand will continue to grow at least at its current momentum, allowing for a continual improvement in the freight market, said George Lazaridis.
This is a fairly big if however, especially if you take a closer look at the volatility being noted in the commodity markets and the general uncertainty being played out in many of those economies that play a vital role in seaborne trade. Further shocks could derail this balance and bring another round of “pains”. Although this does need to be of concern, it seems that even if these negative scenarios play out their consequences to the market would be more minor and short-term then what similar events have caused in the recent past. As such one can’t blame those optimists out there and given the relatively lower risks that are in view, there are fair grounds to claim that opportunities are now much better than most that we have come by in the past 5 years.
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Wednesday, 12 October 16
INDIAN STEELMAKERS' DELEVERAGING AT RISK ON COKING COAL PRICE JUMP - FITCH
The sharp increase in coking coal prices since August 2016 could squeeze Indian steelmakers' profitability and threaten their deleveraging, Fit ...
Wednesday, 12 October 16
UK SEABORNE COAL IMPORT PLUNGES 64% AS A WORRYING TREND LURKS - BIMCO
The main exporters of thermal coal for coal- fired power plants to the United Kingdom (UK) have experienced a heavy decline in seaborne cargo volum ...
Monday, 10 October 16
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE HITS HIGHEST LEVELS SINCE SEPTEMBER 2014
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal benchmark price hits to its highest level since September 2014. The government declared benchmark prices for Indon ...
Monday, 10 October 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET FIRMS UP ON STRONG CAPE PERFORMANCE
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose again and ending in a positive note this past week. ...
Friday, 07 October 16
INDONESIA'S DEMAND FOR COAL REMAINS STRONG: BP
Indonesia's domestic demand for coal shows no sign of slowing down as the country is banking on its coal abundance to meet the country' ...
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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