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Tuesday, 14 March 17
ORDERBOOK-TO-FEET RATIO DECREASING; THE FREIGHT MARKET IMPROVING
 It seems as though the renewed optimism that has arisen from the recent upward trends being noted in the freight market, the dry bulk market has been set alight, said Allied Shipping in its latest weekly report.
According to George Lazaridis Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations of Allied, there has been a growing bullish vibe being felt for several months now in this sector, generated by the successive decreases being seen in the orderbook-to-fleet ratio during the course of the past year and all indicators in the freight market pointing to an improved balance. He further noted that the order book to fleet ratio for the dry bulk segment as a whole has now dropped to 7.72%, the lowest figure we have seen in over two decades now. This plays an important role in dissipating concerns over the glut in tonnage supply that we have seen in the market, though this is only half the picture. During the course of 2016, many viewed the excessively low earnings being a directly caused by the excessive number of new buildings being delivered. Having witnessed both the drop in the order book and at the same time a considerable improvement in freight rates, one can easily make the presumption that the supply-demand balance in the market is improving and at a fairly good pace. During the course of 2017, freight rates have held at levels well above what we were seeing back in 2016 and even 2015, while the recent rally that boosted the Baltic Dry Index to above 1,000 points before the start of the grain season in the Atlantic, has only re-enforced the bullish views that have been held by many in this regard.
George Lazaridis further said, it is no surprise therefore that we have seen buyers quickly flocking back into the secondhand market with fears that they will “lose” the opportunities that are still present in the market. Despite the fact that prices have on average risen by around 50% since the low levels of March 2016, asset prices can still be considered to be fairly competitive compared to what we have seen historically since the late 90’s. As such and with earnings now providing the promise of better returns and positive cash flows for new purchases, you can see that there is excess possibility for further price gains to be noted over the coming months. What’s more is that during the time period where we faced some of the biggest difficulties in the freight market, newbuilding prices continued to hold at abnormally high levels compared to equivalent periods in the past. As such secondhand asset prices are at an even higher the normal discount against what it costs to construct a similar vessel. This leaves the conclusion that if earnings continue to stay at “good” levels it will be hard to see similarly low price levels in the future for similarly aged vessels.
All these conclusions are based on the assumption that we have reached a balance in the market and that demand will continue to grow at least at its current momentum, allowing for a continual improvement in the freight market, said George Lazaridis.
This is a fairly big if however, especially if you take a closer look at the volatility being noted in the commodity markets and the general uncertainty being played out in many of those economies that play a vital role in seaborne trade. Further shocks could derail this balance and bring another round of “pains”. Although this does need to be of concern, it seems that even if these negative scenarios play out their consequences to the market would be more minor and short-term then what similar events have caused in the recent past. As such one can’t blame those optimists out there and given the relatively lower risks that are in view, there are fair grounds to claim that opportunities are now much better than most that we have come by in the past 5 years.
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Tuesday, 18 October 16
PANAMAX: A FAIRLY POSITIVE END TO THE WEEK - ALLIED
Capesize
Things seemed to be moving sideways during the first half of the week, with resistance being felt as owners tried to resist any further ...
Monday, 17 October 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS SOFTENED IN ALL SEGMENTS THIS PAST WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities decline slightly and ending in a negative note this past ...
Friday, 14 October 16
SUPRAMAXES: DELIVERY SINGAPORE ARE SETTLING AROUND HIGH 6K'S FOR COAL TRIPS TO CHINA VIA INDO - FEARNLEY
Supramax
Wait and see attitude prevailing all over the market.
There have been several fresh cargoes, which have been efficiently covered by ...
Friday, 14 October 16
U.S. SHIPPED 3.3 MMST COAL IN JULY 2016; DECLINE 40% M/M
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.6 million short ton ...
Wednesday, 12 October 16
MARKET INSIGHT - LINOS KOGEVINAS
Another Monday has gone by, bringing with it further turbulence for oil. A series of meetings between high-production nations Russia & Saudi Ar ...
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- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
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