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Wednesday, 01 February 17
MARKET INSIGHT - PANOS TSILINGIRIS
 The recent placement of LOIs for 208kdwt Newcastlemax Newbuildings at $38.5m at Private Chinese Yard identifies with the modern history low for dry bulker shipbuilding. Adjusting for dwt, this would imply today $32m and $27.8m for 172kdwt and 150kdwt Capesize newbuilding, respectively. What a coincidence: in 1999 the 172kdwt Cape new buildings were placed for as low as $32m, while in 1986 the 150kdwt new buildings were placed for around $27m. All of the above are mentioned in nominal terms (not real dollars, ignoring inflation). It appears the $185/dwt is an intertemporal true (sub-)cost level for large dry bulkers.
The -once gigantic- dry bulk order book has been rapidly correcting itself. From its 2009 peak at 78% order book to fleet ratio, it is now constrained to 9% of the fleet, the lowest in 15 years. The dry bulk newbuilding slippage last year stood at 47%; in fact, the Kamsarmax newbuilding delivery rate was only 49%. While we currently face a strong wave of newbuilding deliveries (in January thus far we have 16 Capes, 26 Kamsarmaxes, 40 Ultras and 17 Handies delivered) due to the units queued/slipped from last year, we forecast that in 2017q2 the order book will stand at 6% of the fleet, which is the lowest on record.
In the meantime, at the other end of a vessel’s life, we witnessed about 8 Capesizes and 8 Panamaxes built after 2000 being scrapped during last year. The recent scrapping of a 2002 Panamax by China COSCO Shipping paves the way forward for additional 2000s tonnage to be demolished. The vast majority of these bulkers were scrapped from Chinese and Japanese Owners, a fact that we should praise (we also praise the relevant incentives for scrapping). The Sulphur cap together with the with IMO's recent ratification of Ballast Water Management convention will catalyze the accelerated scrapping over the next years. Thankfully, the overage (over 15-year-old) fleet is double the size of new buildings. The order book to vintage fleet ratio is especially attractive for Handy and Panamax newbuilding.
Order responsibly!
By Panos Tsilingiris
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 27 January 17
U.S WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT RISES FOR THIRD STRAIGHT WEEK
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.8 million short ton ...
Wednesday, 25 January 17
MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KAKAVITSAS
Remember that old but classic song called “Destination Unknown”? Well that is where the oil market is heading right now. The song made ...
Tuesday, 24 January 17
MARKET UPDATE - ALLIED
This week at the World Economic Forum in the Swiss resort of Davos we had a historic first via the attendance and speech given by China’s pre ...
Monday, 23 January 17
THE PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED $AU 15.279 BILLION WORTH OF 161.399 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN 2016
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU 1,453.1 M ...
Monday, 23 January 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET DID NOT CHANGE MUCH AND WAS ALMOST AT SAME LEVELS AS LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The Freight market did not change much and was almost at same levels as last week.
The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships ...
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Planning Commission, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PTC India Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
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