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Wednesday, 25 January 17
MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KAKAVITSAS
 Remember that old but classic song called “Destination Unknown”? Well that is where the oil market is heading right now. The song made a splash with a catchy beat and a noticeable video clip reaching the top of the charts. The oil market on the other hand, may attract attention however, whether it will head for higher or lower levels remains very uncertain.
As far as the performance of the crude oil price is concerned, the signals we are getting are so far mixed, with discouraging fundamentals and optimistic headlines equally affecting prices. Both OPEC and Non-OPEC countries have agreed a production cut as a way to deal with the global oil glut and low prices, which resulted in the Brent blend rallying from $46/bbl to a peak of $57/bbl on 6th January, while it’s currently trading around $55/bbl. So far, so good for the big boys of oil but what about the long-term sustainability of these higher price levels?
Russia’s production reached record highs in December and the second-biggest oil producer seemed very happy at this year’s World Economic Forum not only due to their large oil-driven revenues so far, but also due to positive expectations deriving from the new US president who suggests to ease or even remove sanctions imposed on Russia. Even though Russia’s production plays a significant role, the bigger determinant leading to the persistence of the glut could be US shale oil producers. With notably more operating costs and thus a higher breakeven than other oil extractors, most of shale drillers had shut-down production during lower prices only to come back into profitable business at current levels. Finally, taking into consideration the fact that the US dollar has strengthened, hitting a 14-year high during December, pressure for lower price levels grow stronger.
Keeping this insight melodic, you might recall the lyrics of another popular song of the 90s; “Hello, hello, hello, how low?”. Could this be the tune for the tanker market in 2017? The dominant common factor for both the dirty and clean market is the large number of newbuilding deliveries that could potentially lead to lower freight rates. Saying that, as in the short-run tonnage supply will not significantly change; demand is expected to primarily drive the market in the following months. In the dirty sector, lower oil prices may drive demand for ships higher however; those already excessive inventories could be an obstacle to such rally. The outlook for product tankers falls no further from the mixed-signal environment the dirty market operates in, with the LR market seeing a record-high in vessel deliveries. Greater diversification with respect to trade routes and cargoes, especially in the MR market allow for wider range projections; still forecasts for demand growth for petroleum products making any prediction for the freight market challenging.
In conclusion, well, is there any yet? Amidst mixed fundamentals it would be careless to prematurely jump to any conclusions, as market sentiment has proved to be not only an unpredictable factor but also an influential one. Under the current state of uncertainty, it is still unclear whether the bears will prevail or the bulls will be justified and thus the only safe conclusion that can be reached is nicely summed-up in the title of another pop music hit called “Blank Space”.
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Tuesday, 18 October 16
PANAMAX: A FAIRLY POSITIVE END TO THE WEEK - ALLIED
Capesize
Things seemed to be moving sideways during the first half of the week, with resistance being felt as owners tried to resist any further ...
Monday, 17 October 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS SOFTENED IN ALL SEGMENTS THIS PAST WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities decline slightly and ending in a negative note this past ...
Friday, 14 October 16
SUPRAMAXES: DELIVERY SINGAPORE ARE SETTLING AROUND HIGH 6K'S FOR COAL TRIPS TO CHINA VIA INDO - FEARNLEY
Supramax
Wait and see attitude prevailing all over the market.
There have been several fresh cargoes, which have been efficiently covered by ...
Friday, 14 October 16
U.S. SHIPPED 3.3 MMST COAL IN JULY 2016; DECLINE 40% M/M
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.6 million short ton ...
Wednesday, 12 October 16
MARKET INSIGHT - LINOS KOGEVINAS
Another Monday has gone by, bringing with it further turbulence for oil. A series of meetings between high-production nations Russia & Saudi Ar ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
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