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Monday, 15 August 16
DRY BULK: 2017 COULD MARK THE START OF LOWER SHIP DELIVERIES HELPING TONNAGE SUPPLY ISSUES IN THE MARKET, SAYS SHIPOWNER - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 Dry bulk owner Pacific Basin, mainly active in the Handysize and Supramax trades appeared optimistic in its analysis of the prospects of the dry bulk market moving forward. In short, high scrapping activity, lower ship deliveries from 2017 onwards, as a result of negligible newbuilding activity and increased slippage, could lead to a significant improvement of the demand/supply balance of the market moving forward.
According to Pacific Basin, “Handysize and Supramax spot market rates averaged US$3,900 and US$4,570 per day net respectively in the first half of 2016, representing a 22% and 27% decline in average earnings year on year. Baltic dry bulk freight market indices continued to decline in early 2016 to new record lows for all bulk carrier types which, in February, all recorded TCE earnings of less than US$3,000 per day. Such level of earnings is below cash operating expenses and conditions are estimated to have been as poor as those of the early 1970s. Freight rates were undermined mainly by a general seasonal and Chinese New Year slowdown in demand, lingering oversupply of dry bulk tonnage and lower Chinese imports of coal. Increased activity after mid-February supported improved market freight rates – more notably in the Atlantic due primarily to increased South American grain exports – albeit from a very low base and resulting in a very weak half-year period overall for dry bulk shipping”.
In terms of supply, Pacific Basin noted that “the global fleet of 25,000-40,000 dwt Handysize and 50,000-60,000 dwt Supramax ships grew 1.4% net and 2.3% net respectively during the half year, and there has been negligible net growth in the dry bulk fleet overall since the seasonal surge in new ship deliveries in January. Following a similar pattern to last year, new ship deliveries in the first half represented 3.6% of existing dry bulk capacity and full-year deliveries are projected to fall significantly short of the scheduled order book. All-time low freight earnings encouraged increased scrapping to 1.8% of existing dry bulk capacity in the first quarter – a level not seen in over 30 years. The second quarter saw a reduced pace of scrapping due to improved freight market conditions. In the half year overall, shipowners opted to delete 2.8% of total dry bulk capacity and 2.5% of Handysize capacity rather than continue to operate their older or poorly designed ships in such depressed trading conditions. For the first time since the 1980s, we observed a meaningful number of vessels withdrawn from the market for short-term idling or longer-term lay-up”.
SHIP VALUES
The ship owner added that “values of benchmark five-year-old and newbuilding Handysize bulk carriers have reduced by 2% and 5% since the start of the year to US$9.3 million and US$19.5 million respectively as estimated by Clarksons Platou, and they appear to have stabilised. The significant gap between newbuilding and secondhand prices continues to discourage new ship ordering activity which will benefit freight market fundamentals in the future. Cancelled or abandoned newbuildings especially from Chinese shipyards are occasionally marketed for sale by shipbuilders at significant discounts”.
KEY DEMAND DEVELOPMENTS
Meanwhile, “year on year, Clarksons Platou estimate dry bulk shipping demand in the first quarter to have increased by 0.4%. Key drivers through the first half included increased iron ore exports – especially from Brazil – as well as growth in Chinese steel exports and bauxite and copper concentrates imports, and strong exports of long-haul South American agricultural products. Chinese imports of seven key minor bulks increased by 5 million tonnes or 4% year on year, reflecting slower growth in Chinese industrial output. Having declined significantly in early 2015, coal volumes have been steadier since a year ago. Reduced bauxite exports from Malaysia have been largely offset by growth in longer haul volumes from Guinea and other Atlantic exporters. US petcoke exports in January to April increased 6% year on year driven by strong growth in Indian demand which has more than offset a decline in volumes to China. Despite the marginally positive year-on-year demand data, a typical seasonal fall in dry bulk trade volumes from the last quarter of 2015 to the first quarter of 2016 contributed to record low freight rates in the first quarter. Overall dry bulk demand improved in the second quarter, particularly in the Atlantic due primarily to increased South American grain exports”, said Pacific Basin.
ORDERBOOK
Finally, “the dry bulk order book has reduced to 15% from 18% a year ago. New ordering for most dry bulk ship types was negligible in the first half of the year which is further increasing pressure on underutilised shipyards. New orders were substantially limited to thirty Valemax ore carriers dedicated to Vale’s own iron ore export trades and primarily built to replace an ageing Very Large Ore Carrier fleet. The significant order book shortfall and slippage continues, and we expect new ship deliveries in the full year 2016 to be similar to last year’s 49 million deadweight tonnes. We expect the absence of new ordering to result in significantly reduced new ship deliveries from next year onwards”, the ship owner concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 06 September 16
INDO GOVT. SETS SEPTEMBER COAL REFERENCE PRICE AT US$ 63.93 PER TON; JUMP 20.17% YTD
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal benchmark price hits to its highest level since April 2015. The government declared benchmark prices f ...
Tuesday, 06 September 16
CAPESIZE: THE PACIFIC BASIN WAS THE MAIN REGION KEEPING UP WITH THE POSITIVE SUPPORT - ALLIED
Capesize
Despite some mixed feelings being seen early on in the week, we managed to see a positive week-on-week close on Friday with some positiv ...
Monday, 05 September 16
INDIA BECAME ADARO'S SECOND LARGEST MARKET IN 1H' 16
COALspot.com: The Wara Balangan blend product has been well received by customers in China and India - AI
In the second quarter of 2 ...
Monday, 05 September 16
POOR FREIGHT RATES DESPITE STRONG DEMAND GROWTH FROM CHINA - BIMCO
Demand
The dry bulk commodity imports into and exports out of China we have seen in the first half of 2016 are very positive – and nothing ...
Monday, 05 September 16
FREIGHT RATE FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA IS EXPECTED TO BE FLAT TO SOFT THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose and ending in a positive note this past week except ...
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- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
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