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Monday, 15 August 16
DRY BULK: 2017 COULD MARK THE START OF LOWER SHIP DELIVERIES HELPING TONNAGE SUPPLY ISSUES IN THE MARKET, SAYS SHIPOWNER - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 Dry bulk owner Pacific Basin, mainly active in the Handysize and Supramax trades appeared optimistic in its analysis of the prospects of the dry bulk market moving forward. In short, high scrapping activity, lower ship deliveries from 2017 onwards, as a result of negligible newbuilding activity and increased slippage, could lead to a significant improvement of the demand/supply balance of the market moving forward.
According to Pacific Basin, “Handysize and Supramax spot market rates averaged US$3,900 and US$4,570 per day net respectively in the first half of 2016, representing a 22% and 27% decline in average earnings year on year. Baltic dry bulk freight market indices continued to decline in early 2016 to new record lows for all bulk carrier types which, in February, all recorded TCE earnings of less than US$3,000 per day. Such level of earnings is below cash operating expenses and conditions are estimated to have been as poor as those of the early 1970s. Freight rates were undermined mainly by a general seasonal and Chinese New Year slowdown in demand, lingering oversupply of dry bulk tonnage and lower Chinese imports of coal. Increased activity after mid-February supported improved market freight rates – more notably in the Atlantic due primarily to increased South American grain exports – albeit from a very low base and resulting in a very weak half-year period overall for dry bulk shipping”.
In terms of supply, Pacific Basin noted that “the global fleet of 25,000-40,000 dwt Handysize and 50,000-60,000 dwt Supramax ships grew 1.4% net and 2.3% net respectively during the half year, and there has been negligible net growth in the dry bulk fleet overall since the seasonal surge in new ship deliveries in January. Following a similar pattern to last year, new ship deliveries in the first half represented 3.6% of existing dry bulk capacity and full-year deliveries are projected to fall significantly short of the scheduled order book. All-time low freight earnings encouraged increased scrapping to 1.8% of existing dry bulk capacity in the first quarter – a level not seen in over 30 years. The second quarter saw a reduced pace of scrapping due to improved freight market conditions. In the half year overall, shipowners opted to delete 2.8% of total dry bulk capacity and 2.5% of Handysize capacity rather than continue to operate their older or poorly designed ships in such depressed trading conditions. For the first time since the 1980s, we observed a meaningful number of vessels withdrawn from the market for short-term idling or longer-term lay-up”.
SHIP VALUES
The ship owner added that “values of benchmark five-year-old and newbuilding Handysize bulk carriers have reduced by 2% and 5% since the start of the year to US$9.3 million and US$19.5 million respectively as estimated by Clarksons Platou, and they appear to have stabilised. The significant gap between newbuilding and secondhand prices continues to discourage new ship ordering activity which will benefit freight market fundamentals in the future. Cancelled or abandoned newbuildings especially from Chinese shipyards are occasionally marketed for sale by shipbuilders at significant discounts”.
KEY DEMAND DEVELOPMENTS
Meanwhile, “year on year, Clarksons Platou estimate dry bulk shipping demand in the first quarter to have increased by 0.4%. Key drivers through the first half included increased iron ore exports – especially from Brazil – as well as growth in Chinese steel exports and bauxite and copper concentrates imports, and strong exports of long-haul South American agricultural products. Chinese imports of seven key minor bulks increased by 5 million tonnes or 4% year on year, reflecting slower growth in Chinese industrial output. Having declined significantly in early 2015, coal volumes have been steadier since a year ago. Reduced bauxite exports from Malaysia have been largely offset by growth in longer haul volumes from Guinea and other Atlantic exporters. US petcoke exports in January to April increased 6% year on year driven by strong growth in Indian demand which has more than offset a decline in volumes to China. Despite the marginally positive year-on-year demand data, a typical seasonal fall in dry bulk trade volumes from the last quarter of 2015 to the first quarter of 2016 contributed to record low freight rates in the first quarter. Overall dry bulk demand improved in the second quarter, particularly in the Atlantic due primarily to increased South American grain exports”, said Pacific Basin.
ORDERBOOK
Finally, “the dry bulk order book has reduced to 15% from 18% a year ago. New ordering for most dry bulk ship types was negligible in the first half of the year which is further increasing pressure on underutilised shipyards. New orders were substantially limited to thirty Valemax ore carriers dedicated to Vale’s own iron ore export trades and primarily built to replace an ageing Very Large Ore Carrier fleet. The significant order book shortfall and slippage continues, and we expect new ship deliveries in the full year 2016 to be similar to last year’s 49 million deadweight tonnes. We expect the absence of new ordering to result in significantly reduced new ship deliveries from next year onwards”, the ship owner concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 15 September 16
INDONESIA MAY FACE A COAL CRISIS BY 2035!
COALspot.com: Indonesia is the world’s fourth-largest coal producer and the world’s largest thermal coal exporter may face a coal crisi ...
Thursday, 15 September 16
CAPESIZE: LAST WEEK ENDED ON A VERY STRONG NOTE MAINLY DRIVEN BY A ACTIVE BRAZIL MARKET - FEARNLYS
Supramax
With holidays in the eastern hemisphere beginning this week, the sentiment and activity level has been decreasing.
In the Pacific, ...
Wednesday, 14 September 16
THE DRY BULK MARKET REACHED LEVELS LAST SEEN BACK IN 2015 - INTERMODAL
In an earlier column we commented that we are undergoing “shipping’s new (ab)normal” with constrained financing, shift in demand ...
Wednesday, 14 September 16
THE PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 12.48 MMT OF COAL IN AUGUST; AVERAGE SELLING PRICE WAS $AU 83.33
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU $1,040.4 ...
Tuesday, 13 September 16
CAPESIZE: BIG STRENGTH SEEN IN THE MARKET THIS WEEK - ALLIED
Capesize - Big strength seen in the market this week, with an upbeat in sentiment amongst owners helping pull up rates fairly quickly and many hold ...
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- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
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