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Monday, 15 August 16
DRY BULK: 2017 COULD MARK THE START OF LOWER SHIP DELIVERIES HELPING TONNAGE SUPPLY ISSUES IN THE MARKET, SAYS SHIPOWNER - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 Dry bulk owner Pacific Basin, mainly active in the Handysize and Supramax trades appeared optimistic in its analysis of the prospects of the dry bulk market moving forward. In short, high scrapping activity, lower ship deliveries from 2017 onwards, as a result of negligible newbuilding activity and increased slippage, could lead to a significant improvement of the demand/supply balance of the market moving forward.
According to Pacific Basin, “Handysize and Supramax spot market rates averaged US$3,900 and US$4,570 per day net respectively in the first half of 2016, representing a 22% and 27% decline in average earnings year on year. Baltic dry bulk freight market indices continued to decline in early 2016 to new record lows for all bulk carrier types which, in February, all recorded TCE earnings of less than US$3,000 per day. Such level of earnings is below cash operating expenses and conditions are estimated to have been as poor as those of the early 1970s. Freight rates were undermined mainly by a general seasonal and Chinese New Year slowdown in demand, lingering oversupply of dry bulk tonnage and lower Chinese imports of coal. Increased activity after mid-February supported improved market freight rates – more notably in the Atlantic due primarily to increased South American grain exports – albeit from a very low base and resulting in a very weak half-year period overall for dry bulk shipping”.
In terms of supply, Pacific Basin noted that “the global fleet of 25,000-40,000 dwt Handysize and 50,000-60,000 dwt Supramax ships grew 1.4% net and 2.3% net respectively during the half year, and there has been negligible net growth in the dry bulk fleet overall since the seasonal surge in new ship deliveries in January. Following a similar pattern to last year, new ship deliveries in the first half represented 3.6% of existing dry bulk capacity and full-year deliveries are projected to fall significantly short of the scheduled order book. All-time low freight earnings encouraged increased scrapping to 1.8% of existing dry bulk capacity in the first quarter – a level not seen in over 30 years. The second quarter saw a reduced pace of scrapping due to improved freight market conditions. In the half year overall, shipowners opted to delete 2.8% of total dry bulk capacity and 2.5% of Handysize capacity rather than continue to operate their older or poorly designed ships in such depressed trading conditions. For the first time since the 1980s, we observed a meaningful number of vessels withdrawn from the market for short-term idling or longer-term lay-up”.
SHIP VALUES
The ship owner added that “values of benchmark five-year-old and newbuilding Handysize bulk carriers have reduced by 2% and 5% since the start of the year to US$9.3 million and US$19.5 million respectively as estimated by Clarksons Platou, and they appear to have stabilised. The significant gap between newbuilding and secondhand prices continues to discourage new ship ordering activity which will benefit freight market fundamentals in the future. Cancelled or abandoned newbuildings especially from Chinese shipyards are occasionally marketed for sale by shipbuilders at significant discounts”.
KEY DEMAND DEVELOPMENTS
Meanwhile, “year on year, Clarksons Platou estimate dry bulk shipping demand in the first quarter to have increased by 0.4%. Key drivers through the first half included increased iron ore exports – especially from Brazil – as well as growth in Chinese steel exports and bauxite and copper concentrates imports, and strong exports of long-haul South American agricultural products. Chinese imports of seven key minor bulks increased by 5 million tonnes or 4% year on year, reflecting slower growth in Chinese industrial output. Having declined significantly in early 2015, coal volumes have been steadier since a year ago. Reduced bauxite exports from Malaysia have been largely offset by growth in longer haul volumes from Guinea and other Atlantic exporters. US petcoke exports in January to April increased 6% year on year driven by strong growth in Indian demand which has more than offset a decline in volumes to China. Despite the marginally positive year-on-year demand data, a typical seasonal fall in dry bulk trade volumes from the last quarter of 2015 to the first quarter of 2016 contributed to record low freight rates in the first quarter. Overall dry bulk demand improved in the second quarter, particularly in the Atlantic due primarily to increased South American grain exports”, said Pacific Basin.
ORDERBOOK
Finally, “the dry bulk order book has reduced to 15% from 18% a year ago. New ordering for most dry bulk ship types was negligible in the first half of the year which is further increasing pressure on underutilised shipyards. New orders were substantially limited to thirty Valemax ore carriers dedicated to Vale’s own iron ore export trades and primarily built to replace an ageing Very Large Ore Carrier fleet. The significant order book shortfall and slippage continues, and we expect new ship deliveries in the full year 2016 to be similar to last year’s 49 million deadweight tonnes. We expect the absence of new ordering to result in significantly reduced new ship deliveries from next year onwards”, the ship owner concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 24 October 16
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED 3.2% TO 16 MMST WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16 million short tons ...
Monday, 24 October 16
DRY BULK:MARKET ENDS WEEK WITH MIXED REACTIONS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities ending with mixed direction as Cape and BDI was declined ...
Thursday, 20 October 16
THE PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 16.97 PERCENT MORE COAL IN SEPTEMBER
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU 1,216.7 m ...
Thursday, 20 October 16
A SUPRAMAX HAVE BEEN FIXED AT $12,500 FOR A INDIA TO BANGLADESH TRIP - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
A bit more activities with modest upturn in rates.
According to Fearnleys weekly report, US Gulf trip to Skaw-Passero has seen cons ...
Wednesday, 19 October 16
THE SHIPPING MARKET IS IN A WAIT AND SEE MODE - INTERMODAL
We are now heading towards the end of a rather volatile 2016 for the dry bulk segment. During the last 10 months there were never any clear indicat ...
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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