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Wednesday, 27 July 16
GLOBAL OIL SUPPLY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN HIGHER THAN GLOBAL CONSUMPTION IN 2016 - CHRISTOPHER WHITTY
 Global oil supply is expected to remain higher than global consumption in 2016, keeping oil prices at relatively low levels this summer compared with previous years. Oversupply and growing economic headwinds are weighing down heavily on oil worldwide. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Brent crude oil prices are forecast to average $35/b in summer 2016, $21/b lower than last summer. The monthly average spot price of Brent crude oil increased by $2/b in June to $48/b, which was actually the highest monthly average for Brent since October 2015. This was the fifth consecutive increase in the monthly average Brent price, the longest such stretch since May through September 2013.
In the U.S., commercial crude oil weekly inventories have increased by more than 71 million barrels (15%) since the end of September 2015, pushing crude oil storage capacity utilization to a near record high according to EIA. The large increase in crude oil storage capacity in the States between September 2015 and March 2016 was prompted by increased demand for crude oil storage as global supply has outpaced global demand for most of the past two years.
In S.E. Asia, predominantly Singapore and Malaysia, the volumes of oil stored at sea also appear to have increased significantly. There is still a large fleet of VLCCs off Singapore anchored in nearby areas for storage use. There is a major concern that there is still a considerable quantity of physical crude oil stored in the area especially during the last few months.
This is actually the fourth time during the last three decades, that we have a major crash in oil prices. OPEC countries today, refuse to actually cut back or agree to limit production in order to boost prices. In the past, that tactic was a good solution but today OPEC is facing its own challenges. For Saudi Arabia and the remaining Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar and United Arab Emirates), which together account for around 40% of the world's oil reserves and the lion's share of OPEC's collective output, their future oil strategy should be an exclusively GCC affair, away from the stress and dysfunction of OPEC. We see huge developments and the continued existence of OPEC being in peril.
The conflict within the OPEC group over a coordinated cut in output has led to intense international pressure on Saudi Arabia. The meeting of oil producers in Doha in April basically led to more claims of Saudi Arabia’s intolerance, despite the fact that Saudi Arabia has the largest excess oil capacity in the world by an enormous degree.
We have, in fact, passed the point where OPEC's key member Saudi Arabia can any longer dictate oil prices. Saudi Arabia might have hinged on the respect it received from OPEC members, which gave it control over OPEC outputs and de-facto control of 40% of world oil output, way more than its share.
That status quo guaranteed a steady oil supply which, in turn, fueled economic exchanges and progress during the last half-century with an unprecedented increase in prosperity worldwide. We are now transitioning to a time where open trading on world markets has more impact on oil prices than the attempts of OPEC to establish artificial restricted supply.
By Christopher Whitty
Commercial Manager - Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 28 July 16
FITCH RAISES CORPORATE OIL PRICE ASSUMPTION FOR 2016 TO USD42
Fitch Ratings has raised the 2016 oil price assumptions it uses when rating energy-sector corporates, but expects record high inventories to slow a ...
Thursday, 28 July 16
LAST WEEK ENDING UP WITH BUSIER TONES FOR SUPRAMAXES NOW COOLING DOWN - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Last week ending up with busier tones for Supramaxes now cooling down as with index being down to 684. Average daily earnings for Supram ...
Wednesday, 27 July 16
RATES FOR THE SMALLER SIZES OVER-PERFORMED THE MARKET LAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
The decline the BDI noted last week was somewhat expected given the fact that the market has been overall firming for almost a month no ...
Tuesday, 26 July 16
NORTH P&I CLUB EXPLAINS HOW TO AVOID CLAIMS FOR SELF-COOKING SOYA BEANS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
North P&I Club has advised its members to be extra vigilant during loading and transport of soya beans to ensure they ...
Monday, 25 July 16
STRONG BUYER DEMAND PUSHING UP INDONESIAN THERMAL COAL INDICES
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin rose 0.73 percent week over week to averaging $40.83 per ton this past week, shows C ...
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- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The University of Queensland
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
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