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Wednesday, 27 July 16
GLOBAL OIL SUPPLY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN HIGHER THAN GLOBAL CONSUMPTION IN 2016 - CHRISTOPHER WHITTY
 Global oil supply is expected to remain higher than global consumption in 2016, keeping oil prices at relatively low levels this summer compared with previous years. Oversupply and growing economic headwinds are weighing down heavily on oil worldwide. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Brent crude oil prices are forecast to average $35/b in summer 2016, $21/b lower than last summer. The monthly average spot price of Brent crude oil increased by $2/b in June to $48/b, which was actually the highest monthly average for Brent since October 2015. This was the fifth consecutive increase in the monthly average Brent price, the longest such stretch since May through September 2013.
In the U.S., commercial crude oil weekly inventories have increased by more than 71 million barrels (15%) since the end of September 2015, pushing crude oil storage capacity utilization to a near record high according to EIA. The large increase in crude oil storage capacity in the States between September 2015 and March 2016 was prompted by increased demand for crude oil storage as global supply has outpaced global demand for most of the past two years.
In S.E. Asia, predominantly Singapore and Malaysia, the volumes of oil stored at sea also appear to have increased significantly. There is still a large fleet of VLCCs off Singapore anchored in nearby areas for storage use. There is a major concern that there is still a considerable quantity of physical crude oil stored in the area especially during the last few months.
This is actually the fourth time during the last three decades, that we have a major crash in oil prices. OPEC countries today, refuse to actually cut back or agree to limit production in order to boost prices. In the past, that tactic was a good solution but today OPEC is facing its own challenges. For Saudi Arabia and the remaining Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar and United Arab Emirates), which together account for around 40% of the world's oil reserves and the lion's share of OPEC's collective output, their future oil strategy should be an exclusively GCC affair, away from the stress and dysfunction of OPEC. We see huge developments and the continued existence of OPEC being in peril.
The conflict within the OPEC group over a coordinated cut in output has led to intense international pressure on Saudi Arabia. The meeting of oil producers in Doha in April basically led to more claims of Saudi Arabia’s intolerance, despite the fact that Saudi Arabia has the largest excess oil capacity in the world by an enormous degree.
We have, in fact, passed the point where OPEC's key member Saudi Arabia can any longer dictate oil prices. Saudi Arabia might have hinged on the respect it received from OPEC members, which gave it control over OPEC outputs and de-facto control of 40% of world oil output, way more than its share.
That status quo guaranteed a steady oil supply which, in turn, fueled economic exchanges and progress during the last half-century with an unprecedented increase in prosperity worldwide. We are now transitioning to a time where open trading on world markets has more impact on oil prices than the attempts of OPEC to establish artificial restricted supply.
By Christopher Whitty
Commercial Manager - Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 03 August 16
SHIP TRADING AND ORDERING CLOSE TO A STALEMATE AS SUMMER LULL KICKS IN
With newbuilding activity already at a near standstill since the start of the year, most of 2016’s trading activity in shipping was evident i ...
Tuesday, 02 August 16
INDONESIAN CS COAL INDICES STAY POSITIVE
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin rose 0.71% week over week to averaging $41.12 per ton this past week, shows CS (i) C ...
Monday, 01 August 16
4200 GAR INDONESIAN COAL PRICE MAY TOUCH $ 32/33 A TON LEVELS SOON
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal prices are likely surge further in 2016 as the recent price movement in Indonesian coal markets suggests that the mar ...
Monday, 01 August 16
BALTIC INDEX ENDED NEGATIVE NOTE THIS PAST WEEK ON WEAKER RATES ACROSS ALL LARGE VESSEL SEGMENTS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities slide slightly as Cape, Panamax and Supramax segments end ...
Friday, 29 July 16
U.S. COAL OUTPUT SLIPS SLIGHTLY WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers has produced approximately totalled an estimated 15 million short tons ( ...
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
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