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Wednesday, 18 May 16
LONG TERM FUNDAMENTALS ARE SLOWLY IMPROVING FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET - INTERMODAL
 As we are approaching the end of the first half of the year, there is a number of market participants over at the dry bulk sector that have started wondering whether they have missed out on the bottoming secondhand prices that the market witnessed during the end of last year and throughout the begging of this one, when the BDI touched its lowest level ever, at 290 points.
Following this rather extended period of low rates, as the spring season kicked off, the steadier demand for dry bulk commodities together with the improvement in owner’s psychology helped the index move above 600 points in April, after more than five months. The improved market sentiment has consequently helped second hand prices firm a bit during the past weeks. The positive momentum the market achieved was also helped by a few developments that started drawing a healthier picture of the fundamentals ahead as a number of owners took steps that will more effectively tackle the tonnage oversupply issue.
From one hand, the intense scrapping that has taken place during this year is certainly pushing things towards the “right” direction. We have seen vessels younger than what is considered the typical scrapping age being sold for demolition. As expected, it was the bigger sizes that experienced the most impressive increase in demolition volumes.
More than 230 bulkers have been sold for scrap this year and while in terms of volumes we are around the same levels when compared to the same period last year, when you look at these volumes in terms of dwt, there is a 2% increase. This means that bigger vessels are being sold for scrap, while in terms of age, the average scrapping age for bulkers has moved from 30 years a couple of years ago to 24 years in 2016 so far.
At the same time, newbuilding activity or the lack thereof has been dramatic. Despite the fact that newbuilding prices are at exceptionally low levels, reflecting both the dire straits the industry has found itself in together of course with the almost non-existent appetite for dry bulk ordering, there seems to be no hope for a spark in ordering for dry tonnage. On top of that, the few orders that are being reported are tight to specific projects.
So despite the historically low rates, long-term fundamentals are slowly improving for the dry bulk market. If high demolition activity continues throughout the second half of the year and slippage this year remains high, we could well see minimum dry bulk fleet growth in 2016 and even negative fleet growth within specific segments like Capes. If this is combined with healthy demand for dry bulk commodities from countries like India and a gradual strengthening of Chinese momentum that seems to have been lost during the past year, things should further improve by next year.
The million dollar question though is “by how much?” Will demand levels be finally adequate to overcome the overcapacity issue that is finally being tackled by intense scrapping and absent ordering, or will demand be just enough to keep providing lifelines periodically to a market that won’t be able to break above 1,000 points for much longer?
By Panos Makrinos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 01 June 16
INDIA'S COAL IMPORTS IN APRIL 2016 DECLINED 15% Y/Y; COAL INDIA INCREASED COAL PRICES BY 6.2%
Coal India has approved raising weighted average coal prices by 6.2 per cent over the current price for both regulated and non-regulated sectors.
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Wednesday, 01 June 16
ZERO SUPPLY TO FUEL GROWTH IN THE DRY BULK MARKET SAYS BIMCO PRESIDENT
The dry bulk market could become profitable again in 2019 – but only if a series of extremely tough and sustained measures are taken by shipo ...
Wednesday, 01 June 16
MARKET INSIGHT - LINOS KOGEVINAS
In another page from this year’s oil drama, oil has, after a series of gains, rebounded to ~$50 / barrel and immediately stopped climbing. &n ...
Tuesday, 31 May 16
CS50 INDONESIA COAL INDEX UP 0.28% COMPARED WITH A WEEK AGO
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was up 0.28 percent week over week to averaging $39.01 per ton this past week, shows ...
Monday, 30 May 16
BORYEONG POWER PLANT TO IMPORT HALF A MILLION TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea’s state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a new tender for 500,000 Metric Tons of Bituminous Coal T ...
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Showing 2411 to 2415 news of total 6871 |
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- White Energy Company Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
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