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Wednesday, 20 April 16
2017 IS EXPECTED TO BE A MUCH BETTER YEAR FOR THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY - INTERMODAL
 Some months ago we noted that all projections anticipated 2016 to be a better year from a macroeconomic point of view when compared to 2015. As we leave behind q1, evidence suggests that there are increasing chances that this is not going to be the case, with projections for global growth once again being revised downwards.
The latest estimate by the International Monetary Fund in April projects a modest 3.2% global growth for this year, 0.2% down from the January projection and just 0.1% higher that the estimated global growth for 2015. Once again the biggest part of this year’s world growth will come from the emerging economies, although they are not expected to grow at a much faster pace than they did in the year before with the economic slowdown in China and the weak growth both in oil and non-oil commodity exporters having their effect on the final projection estimates.
Moreover, the presence of several additional risks like further incidents of financial turbulence or a larger than anticipated adverse effect of lower oil prices on oil exporting countries and various other geopolitical risks including a possible Brexit, increase uncertainty over future economic developments and may lead to the realization of even weaker growth scenarios before the world economy picks up at a projected 3.5% growth in 2017.
With regards to global trade, which is of prime importance to the shipping industry, the latest evidence provided by the OECD suggests that its growth rate for 2016 will be weak along the projections for global growth. Overall things in the global economy draw a not very promising picture for the Dry Bulk sector in 2016 and despite the fact that during the last couple weeks we have moved away from the historically low levels we witnessed during the last part of 2105 and the first months of this year, things in the sector remain shaky as falling demand and weak growth prospects occur on the back of excess tonnage supply.
Given that things continue to steadily improve, 2017 is expected to be a much better year for the sector and the shipping industry overall. Saying that, we should all be patient and cautious as we have just left q1 and three more quarters are on their way before this year concludes.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 11 May 16
MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
On Saturday 7th May, Riyadh replaced the long-serving oil minister of more than two decades, Ali-Al-Naimi, as part of a major government overhaul, ...
Tuesday, 10 May 16
VOLATILITY? VARIATION NO ENIGMA TO SHIPPING..... - CLARKSONS
Along with cyclicality, the other characteristic of the shipping markets which receives frequent mention is volatility. This is so evident that the ...
Monday, 09 May 16
INDONESIAN CS COAL INDICES UP CONTINUES; POSITIVE DIRECTION
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin up 0.10 percent week over week to averaging $38.82 per ton on this past Wednesday, a ...
Monday, 09 May 16
DRY BULK SHIPPING TO WITNESS STEADY PROGRESS MOVING FORWARD ON THE BACK OF GROWING TRADE VOLUMES - BIMCO
In its latest short-term analysis of the shipping markets, BIMCO reiterated its optimism on the prospects of the dry bulk market moving forward. Ac ...
Monday, 09 May 16
BALTIC DRY INDEX ENDS WEEK ON A NEGATIVE NOTE
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities decline this week.
The freight market was weak and a ...
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- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The University of Queensland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- White Energy Company Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
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