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Wednesday, 20 April 16
2017 IS EXPECTED TO BE A MUCH BETTER YEAR FOR THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY - INTERMODAL
 Some months ago we noted that all projections anticipated 2016 to be a better year from a macroeconomic point of view when compared to 2015. As we leave behind q1, evidence suggests that there are increasing chances that this is not going to be the case, with projections for global growth once again being revised downwards.
The latest estimate by the International Monetary Fund in April projects a modest 3.2% global growth for this year, 0.2% down from the January projection and just 0.1% higher that the estimated global growth for 2015. Once again the biggest part of this year’s world growth will come from the emerging economies, although they are not expected to grow at a much faster pace than they did in the year before with the economic slowdown in China and the weak growth both in oil and non-oil commodity exporters having their effect on the final projection estimates.
Moreover, the presence of several additional risks like further incidents of financial turbulence or a larger than anticipated adverse effect of lower oil prices on oil exporting countries and various other geopolitical risks including a possible Brexit, increase uncertainty over future economic developments and may lead to the realization of even weaker growth scenarios before the world economy picks up at a projected 3.5% growth in 2017.
With regards to global trade, which is of prime importance to the shipping industry, the latest evidence provided by the OECD suggests that its growth rate for 2016 will be weak along the projections for global growth. Overall things in the global economy draw a not very promising picture for the Dry Bulk sector in 2016 and despite the fact that during the last couple weeks we have moved away from the historically low levels we witnessed during the last part of 2105 and the first months of this year, things in the sector remain shaky as falling demand and weak growth prospects occur on the back of excess tonnage supply.
Given that things continue to steadily improve, 2017 is expected to be a much better year for the sector and the shipping industry overall. Saying that, we should all be patient and cautious as we have just left q1 and three more quarters are on their way before this year concludes.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 16 May 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS WEAK AND ALL SEGMENTS EXCEPT PANAMAX WERE DOWN
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities decline this week.
The freight market was weak and a ...
Friday, 13 May 16
COAL CARGOES - SOME RECENT DEVELOPMENTS: SWEDISH CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Indonesia continues to be amongst the world’s major exporters of coal, some 426Mt being traded in 2013 mostly to In ...
Friday, 13 May 16
US WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION IS RUNNING 33% BELOW THE SAME PERIOD IN 2015 - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 10.9 million short tons (mm ...
Friday, 13 May 16
DRY BULK SHIPPING MARKET RECOVERY WILL BE A LONG, HARD-FOUGHT BATTLE - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Anyone who expects a strong rally in dry bulk market rates to end the industry’s downturn will be bitterly disappointed. By contrast – ...
Wednesday, 11 May 16
U.S. FORECAST COAL PRODUCTION IS EXPECTED TO DECLINED BY 150 MMST IN 2016; THE LARGEST DECLINE SINCE 1949 - EIA
COALspot.com: EIA estimates that U.S. coal production in April was 46 million short tons (MMst), a 6 MMst (12%) decrease from the previous month an ...
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Coal Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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