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Wednesday, 16 March 16
OIL SUPPLY OUTPACES DEMAND ON ANY GIVEN DAY, AND BILLIONS OF BARRELS OF OIL ARE BEING STORED RATHER THAN CONSUMED - CHRISTOPHER
 Oil producers have turned to the concept of limiting their output to January levels as a certain form of action to boost prices that have fallen more than 70% since the middle of 2014. Oil supply outpaces demand on any given day, and billions of barrels of oil are being stored rather than consumed. As a result, oil prices have collapsed to as low as $26 per barrel in February, from well over $100 in 2014.
It is interesting that currently, Iran and Iraq both play an important role in the contemplated production freeze. Iran has already been increasing production and the country’s position is that it would consider oil-production caps only after the country’s output rises back to the levels before the West imposed sanctions over its nuclear program.
Basically Iran wants to increase production now, in an attempt to revive their share in the global markets, before they even consider discussing about participating in an output freeze. Iraq also has a longstanding policy of seeking to raise production regardless of the price-stabilizing policies of the OPEC.
Russia said that OPEC’s meeting with other key oil producers regarding an output freeze will probably be held in Doha, Qatar in April. They said that Iran supports the plan, while Tehran says it wants to double its crude exports to 4 million bpd first.
However, in reality according to the latest oil market data, both Russia and Saudi Arabia ramped up their oil production in February, despite talks about supply caps. Russian oil supply reached a new high of 11.08 million barrels a day in February, and Saudi Arabia during the same month increased its daily output by 14,000 barrels, to 10.14 million barrels per day, according to OPEC's analysis of market sources.
Generally speaking, countries are less willing to freeze and especially to cut production, because doing so means giving up market share for their oil, which might be hard to win back especially during this transition period. The four major oil powers, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Venezuela and Qatar, are heavily involved in the various discussions and the coordinated efforts will probably include soon also non OPEC countries such as Oman, Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan.
Assuming all are on board, the oil glut could begin to ease, particularly with American output on the decline. Or at least that is what they anticipate with this concept.
The fact is that a two million barrel-per-day surplus in oil supplies will continue to weigh on prices in the short term and even if these countries freeze output, they would still need more drastic efforts to support prices in the long term.
From my own perspective, it looks like their ultimate goal is to reach a certain consensus and, if they actually get there, I would expect them to quickly focus on actually reducing production in the long term. In any case, analysts estimate that maintaining production at current levels will probably not have a significant effect on prices.
Christopher Thomas Whitty
Marketing Manager - Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 03 February 16
DRY BULK MARKET CONTINUES TO BE UNDER PRESSURE - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market continues to be under pressure, with the BDI remaining in search of even the slightest support, which seems to be delaying more ...
Tuesday, 02 February 16
RECORD EXPORTS THROUGH SOUTH AFRICA'S RICHARDS BAY COAL TERMINAL MADE AT EXPENSE OF SMALLER RIVALS, IHS SAYS
Five percent increase in coal exports through South Africa’s dominant Richards Bay Coal Terminal in 2015 unlikely to accelerate country&rsquo ...
Tuesday, 02 February 16
SETTING ASIDE, STRIKING OUT AND APPEALS TO THE COURT OF APPEAL IN SHIP ARRESTS - RAJAH & TANN ASIA LLP
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The Singapore Court of Appeal once again has had to grapple with ship arrest, setting aside and appeals to the Court unde ...
Monday, 01 February 16
DRY BULK SUFFERS FROM POSEIDON'S POTENT PRONGS - CLARKSONS
It has been a grim start to 2016 for the bulkcarrier market, with the Baltic Dry Index sliding to new record lows on almost every day of the year s ...
Monday, 01 February 16
INDONESIA'S SECOND LARGEST COAL MINER ADARO ENERGY HAS PRODUCED 51.46 MT IN 2015; 8% LOWER COMPARED TO FY14
COALspot.com: Adaro Energy, the Indonesia’s second largest coal producer by volume has produced 51.46 Mt in 2015, 8% lower compared to ...
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The University of Queensland
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Australian Coal Association
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
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