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Tuesday, 01 March 16
CAN BULKCARRIER SUPPLY CUTS RESTORE SOME BALANCE? - CLARKSONS
 The easing in bulkcarrier deliveries and the accelerated pace of demolition in recent years has seen bulkcarrier fleet growth slow from a rapid 17% in 2010 to just over 2% in 2015. In the short-term, fleet expansion is currently projected to slow further, but with only limited growth expected in dry bulk trade in coming years, can supply growth be brought back in line with expansion in demand?
Stunting The Growth
The depression in the dry bulk market, driven by weak demand and firm supply growth in preceding years, saw bulker owners scrap over 30m dwt in 2015, close to the record of 33m dwt in 2012. Meanwhile, deliveries remained fairly steady y-o-y at 49m dwt, down from 100m dwt in 2012. Estimated ‘non-delivery’ (the percentage of the start year orderbook scheduled for delivery during the year, but not delivered due to ‘slippage’ or cancellation) rose last year to 43%, up from an estimated 36% in 2014, limiting delivery volumes. Overall, these trends saw the pace of fleet growth shrink to 2.4%, the slowest rate since 1999. However, even this slow growth exacerbated oversupply, with seaborne dry bulk trade declining by 0.1% in 2015.
Out With The Not-So-Old
Bulkcarrier demolition is projected to remain firm this year, given the weak outlook for the market. There remains a sizeable volume (62.4m dwt) of bulkcarrier tonnage aged over 20 years, and owners have also shown a willingness to scrap increasingly younger units, with the average age of scrapped bulkers falling from 32 years in 2010 to 25 years in 2015. In the first eight weeks of 2016 alone, 93 units of 8.3m dwt were scrapped, up 77% y-o-y on an annualised basis, and demolition is currently projected to exceed 33m dwt this year.
Deliveries To Dive?
Despite the depressed market conditions, and expectations that slippage and cancellation will continue to significantly affect deliveries, a total of 49m dwt is again expected to be delivered in 2016. However, the more limited ordering volumes seen in 2014-15 have helped the orderbook to decrease, reaching an 8-year low in February 2016, and deliveries are now expected to drop in 2017 to 35m dwt.
How Low Do We Need To Go?
Overall, the gap between bulkcarrier deliveries and demolition is currently expected to remain fairly steady this year, with fleet growth projected to reach 2.0%. However, with dry bulk trade growth expected to be very limited at 0.3% in 2016, to restrict fleet expansion to this pace would require the equivalent of either deliveries easing to 36m dwt this year, 27% lower than the current projection, or demolition surging to 47m dwt, 40% higher than the current projection.
So, unless there are dramatic shifts in supply side trends in the rest of this year, it will be difficult to limit the pace of fleet expansion in 2016 to a level closer to dry bulk trade growth. There seems more scope for this in 2017, given current expectations for expansion of only 0.7% in the fleet. However, with dry bulk trade underperforming, even such a slow pace of fleet growth expected in the short-term might struggle to restore balance.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 18 March 16
OUTLOOK ON GLOBAL SHIPPING SECTOR TURNS NEGATIVE AS SUPPLY-DEMAND GAP WIDENS AND EBITDA DECLINES - MOODY'S
Moody’s Investors Service (Moody’s) has changed its outlook on the global shipping sector to negative as it expects supply growth to ou ...
Friday, 18 March 16
DRY BULK MARKET HAS LITTLE TO LOOK FORWARD TO FROM CHINA AT THE MOMENT - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market’s rebound is long overdue, but when it comes, it won’t be because of China’s strong demand for commodities, o ...
Friday, 18 March 16
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE UNITED STATES SLIGHTLY DECREASED THIS WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 12.5 million shor ...
Thursday, 17 March 16
THE PANAMAX MARKET SEEMS TO BE A BIT TOPPISH THIS WEEK - FEARNLEYS
Cape
There are challenging days with rates or less unchanged from last week; West Australia to China still below US$ 3 pmt, and Tuarao to China i ...
Wednesday, 16 March 16
OIL SUPPLY OUTPACES DEMAND ON ANY GIVEN DAY, AND BILLIONS OF BARRELS OF OIL ARE BEING STORED RATHER THAN CONSUMED - CHRISTOPHER
Oil producers have turned to the concept of limiting their output to January levels as a certain form of action to boost prices that have fallen mo ...
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Showing 2516 to 2520 news of total 6871 |
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- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- White Energy Company Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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