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Tuesday, 01 March 16
CAN BULKCARRIER SUPPLY CUTS RESTORE SOME BALANCE? - CLARKSONS
 The easing in bulkcarrier deliveries and the accelerated pace of demolition in recent years has seen bulkcarrier fleet growth slow from a rapid 17% in 2010 to just over 2% in 2015. In the short-term, fleet expansion is currently projected to slow further, but with only limited growth expected in dry bulk trade in coming years, can supply growth be brought back in line with expansion in demand?
Stunting The Growth
The depression in the dry bulk market, driven by weak demand and firm supply growth in preceding years, saw bulker owners scrap over 30m dwt in 2015, close to the record of 33m dwt in 2012. Meanwhile, deliveries remained fairly steady y-o-y at 49m dwt, down from 100m dwt in 2012. Estimated ‘non-delivery’ (the percentage of the start year orderbook scheduled for delivery during the year, but not delivered due to ‘slippage’ or cancellation) rose last year to 43%, up from an estimated 36% in 2014, limiting delivery volumes. Overall, these trends saw the pace of fleet growth shrink to 2.4%, the slowest rate since 1999. However, even this slow growth exacerbated oversupply, with seaborne dry bulk trade declining by 0.1% in 2015.
Out With The Not-So-Old
Bulkcarrier demolition is projected to remain firm this year, given the weak outlook for the market. There remains a sizeable volume (62.4m dwt) of bulkcarrier tonnage aged over 20 years, and owners have also shown a willingness to scrap increasingly younger units, with the average age of scrapped bulkers falling from 32 years in 2010 to 25 years in 2015. In the first eight weeks of 2016 alone, 93 units of 8.3m dwt were scrapped, up 77% y-o-y on an annualised basis, and demolition is currently projected to exceed 33m dwt this year.
Deliveries To Dive?
Despite the depressed market conditions, and expectations that slippage and cancellation will continue to significantly affect deliveries, a total of 49m dwt is again expected to be delivered in 2016. However, the more limited ordering volumes seen in 2014-15 have helped the orderbook to decrease, reaching an 8-year low in February 2016, and deliveries are now expected to drop in 2017 to 35m dwt.
How Low Do We Need To Go?
Overall, the gap between bulkcarrier deliveries and demolition is currently expected to remain fairly steady this year, with fleet growth projected to reach 2.0%. However, with dry bulk trade growth expected to be very limited at 0.3% in 2016, to restrict fleet expansion to this pace would require the equivalent of either deliveries easing to 36m dwt this year, 27% lower than the current projection, or demolition surging to 47m dwt, 40% higher than the current projection.
So, unless there are dramatic shifts in supply side trends in the rest of this year, it will be difficult to limit the pace of fleet expansion in 2016 to a level closer to dry bulk trade growth. There seems more scope for this in 2017, given current expectations for expansion of only 0.7% in the fleet. However, with dry bulk trade underperforming, even such a slow pace of fleet growth expected in the short-term might struggle to restore balance.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 24 March 16
NEWBUILDINGS' PRICES HAVE STARTED TO COME DOWN - ALLIED | HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Newbuildings’ prices have started to come down, as demand has remained subdued for quite some time now. In its latest weekly report, shipbrok ...
Wednesday, 23 March 16
THE PANAMA CANAL - WILL THE MELTING OF POLAR ICE CAPS CREATE RIVAL NAVIGATIONAL WATERWAYS THROUGH THE ARCTIC? - INTERMODAL
The Panama Canal, 102 years after its initial opening, is now about to have its expansion completed with a cost of USD5.25 Billion. It is a project ...
Tuesday, 22 March 16
FOUR NEW MARKET MEMBERS HAVE JOINED GLOBALCOAL
globalCOAL® announced yesterday that four new Market Members have joined its international trading community.
Ferrocadia DMCC is an intern ...
Monday, 21 March 16
INDONESIAN 4200 GAR COAL INDEX ROSE $0.12 OR, 0.44% WEEK OVER WEEK; INDEX CLOASED AT $27.19 A TON
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin rose 0.21 percent week over week to averaging $38.90 per ton on this past Friday, ac ...
Monday, 21 March 16
THE BALTIC DRY INDEX ROSE SLIGHTLY WEEK OVER WEEK; BCI UP 11.93%
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities continued rose this week helped by higher rates for Cape ...
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Showing 2511 to 2515 news of total 6871 |
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- Australian Coal Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Planning Commission, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
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