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Wednesday, 17 February 16
THE OWNERS FACING HISTORICAL LOW DRY BULK RATES; COAL IMPORTS TO CHINA IS STILL POINTING TO A STRONG TREND OF DECLINING CONSUMPTION
 The sharp fall in dry bulk rates that has been taking place since the end of last year and has left owners facing historical low rates for a substantial period of time, has now everyone wondering; how long can it last and what are those developments that could expedite the recovery.
According to our data for vessels above 20,000dwt, 2016 deliveries amount to 887 vessels, a scary number indeed even if one takes into account expected slippage. On the balancing side is of course demolition activity. A little less than 400 vessels were sent for scrap last year, while in the first six weeks of 2016 alone we count 83 demo sales. If scrapping activity for the rest of the year continues at this pace, demolition activity this year will easily top 2015.
Every single market participant is now anxious to see how rates will behave once the Chinese New Year festivities are over. At the same time, fundamentals for the big bulkers, the trade of which is closely tight to China, remain challenging. Chinese iron ore imports, despite reaching record levels, have been unable to help Capesize rates, while coal imports to the country are still pointing to a strong trend of declining consumption.
Lay-ups, an extreme thought not too long ago, have now become an everyday topic amongst owners. We also observe on a weekly basis that the number of 15yrs old vessels available for sale increases, while their owners are now more at ease with the idea of even selling them for scrap. Asset prices have naturally been plunging. Below are some representative example of the sharp fall.
Capesize
The “Nordtramp” - 170k dwt blt 2001 Koyo, Japan was sold last year at $17.1m, while the “Kohyohsan” - 172k dwt blt 2001 NKK, Japan was sold recently at $5.0m. Moreover, this summer we saw the “Churchill Bulker” - 179k dwt blt 2011 Hyundai, S. Korea committed in August at $37.0m, eventually failing and being sold three months later at $28.5m, 23% less. Two weeks ago the “Obelix” 180k dwt blt 2011 Imabari, Japan, was reported sold at $23.5m. Since the beginning of 2016, 22 Capesize vessels have been sold for demo, while 21 have been delivered.
Panamax
The “Thalia” - 75k dwt blt 2001 Hitachi, Japan was sold twelve months ago at $9.5m, while last week the “Cymbeline” - 73k dwt blt 2001, Sumitomo, Japan was sold at $3.3m a decrease of about 65%. The “Unity Pride” - 81k dwt blt 2011 Hyundai, S.Korea was sold at $17.6m back in April 2015. At Christmas we saw the “Archimedes” - 81k dwt blt 2011 Hyundai, S. Korea being sold at $14.5m, failing and coming up for sale once again, with interested parties not willing to offer above $12.0m. Since the beginning of 2016 a number of 33 vessels have been sold for demo, while 30 have been delivered.
It is definitely the “buy low” phase of this cycle. This of course is something that naturally leaves owners striving to survive utterly indifferent at the moment and logically so. But for the more fortunate ones, with cash to support their investment for a reasonable time, the opportunity to renew their fleet is undeniable.
By Giannis Andritsopoulos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 15 March 16
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 12.78 MMT OF COAL IN FEBRUARY 2016
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped AU$1,110.5 mi ...
Tuesday, 15 March 16
ADARO ENERGY LOWERED ITS COAL CASH COST BY 16% TO US$ 27.98 PER TONE IN 2015
Difficult Coal Market Condition Persists in 2015, Adaro Lowers Costs, Reduces Capital Spending and Maintains Solid Liquidity.
PT Adaro E ...
Monday, 14 March 16
THE CS 50 INDEX ROSE $0.16 OR, 0.41% TO $38.82 A TON
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin rose 0.41 percent week over week to averaging $38.82 per ton on this past Friday, ac ...
Monday, 14 March 16
THE BALTIC EXCHANGE CONTINUED TO ROSE THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities continued to rise this week helped by higher rates for pa ...
Saturday, 12 March 16
PLN, COAL COMPANIES IN TALKS ABOUT PRICES - THE JAKARTA POST
Following a study that predicted that Indonesia would struggle to provide coal for its power stations in the near future, the government will facil ...
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
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