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Monday, 08 February 16
DRY BULK: SHIPBROKER SEES BDI MARKET REACHING LOW POINT OF 236 POINTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 The endless pit that is the dry bulk market over the past two months, has been the issue of debate among ship owners, shipbroker and analysts alike, as market delegates are looking for ways to cope with the record low freight rates and determine whether the market will go next. In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Allied Shipbroking said that “with January having closed off with record lows on almost all dry indices (the exception is for the Capesize index which thanks to a small rally during the final week managed to prop slightly higher than the low of 185 points that was achieved on the 19th), many are feeling the pressure and are worried that this market has no bottom and has turned into an endless black hole”.
According to Allied’s Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, Mr. George Lazaridis, “the initial resistance point many believed the market would reach was at 345 in the BDI. This was reached this Tuesday, with quick softening followed on subsequent days easily breaking below this level. The next point in sight that it seems should provide some resistance to further drops should be at around 298 points”. This was also reached on Thursday, while Friday’s session saw thw BDI closing at 297 points. Lazaridis said that “to put this index value into perspective and given the current state of each of the individual markets, this point would refer to average TCE rates of the Capesize at around US$ 2,618pd, that of Panamaxes at US$ 2,161pd, Supramaxes at US$ 2,989pd and that of Handysizes at US$ 3,034pd.”
Yet, the main question still remains as to if this will really be a resistance level that will be hard to break. According to Lazaridis, “Logically there is a level at which the market just doesn’t make sense for anyone to trade below that point. This however depends on a number of factors with most prominent that of the time period that has passed under which the market has been receiving “subpar” rates. To explain this further, owners might be willing to accept abnormally low freight rates if they know it will only be for one-two voyages (i.e. it is a small glitch in the market). However, it is nonsensical to continually trade for long periods of time at a constant loss. Therefore, given the fact that we have been seeing these poor freight levels for around two months now and given the rumours of many owners in the market already looking seriously into their options in terms of cold lay-up, it makes sense to assume that we are under the case of the latter and are likely going to hit a level deemed as the absolute low the market can sustain for now”, Allied’s analyst noted.
He added: “Noting at the same time that we have already seen a break in the consecutive negative days posted in the Capesize market, it looks as though we can presume that this size segment might well have reached its absolute low under the current market conditions, fluctuating thereafter at levels just above and just below this until the market finds a foothold from where to improve. Taking the same premise however on all the other size segments and we see that this next theoretical resistance point will likely be reached easily within this week and could possibly drop even further”.
According to Lazaridis, “a more reasonable resistance level is likely going to prove to be at 236 points on the BDI, a level that will be hard to reach as it will require the combination of all four size segments reaching their theoretical “breaking points” at the same time, but given the market conditions we have seen over the past month, it doesn’t sound like it’s an unthinkable scenario either. Nevertheless, all this will prove to be theoretical, as in practice the market may well have further surprises down the road. The current levels are already well below what the majority of owners can sustain given their OPEX levels, as such pushing more and more to take up options such as that of scrapping or layingup vessels and in turn helping improve the supply side of things”. On the demand side of things many are hopeful of slightly better interest from Charterers after the Chinese New Year, however these hopes have faltered in the past and may well do again”, he concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide
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Wednesday, 03 February 16
DRY BULK MARKET CONTINUES TO BE UNDER PRESSURE - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market continues to be under pressure, with the BDI remaining in search of even the slightest support, which seems to be delaying more ...
Tuesday, 02 February 16
RECORD EXPORTS THROUGH SOUTH AFRICA'S RICHARDS BAY COAL TERMINAL MADE AT EXPENSE OF SMALLER RIVALS, IHS SAYS
Five percent increase in coal exports through South Africa’s dominant Richards Bay Coal Terminal in 2015 unlikely to accelerate country&rsquo ...
Tuesday, 02 February 16
SETTING ASIDE, STRIKING OUT AND APPEALS TO THE COURT OF APPEAL IN SHIP ARRESTS - RAJAH & TANN ASIA LLP
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The Singapore Court of Appeal once again has had to grapple with ship arrest, setting aside and appeals to the Court unde ...
Monday, 01 February 16
DRY BULK SUFFERS FROM POSEIDON'S POTENT PRONGS - CLARKSONS
It has been a grim start to 2016 for the bulkcarrier market, with the Baltic Dry Index sliding to new record lows on almost every day of the year s ...
Monday, 01 February 16
INDONESIA'S SECOND LARGEST COAL MINER ADARO ENERGY HAS PRODUCED 51.46 MT IN 2015; 8% LOWER COMPARED TO FY14
COALspot.com: Adaro Energy, the Indonesia’s second largest coal producer by volume has produced 51.46 Mt in 2015, 8% lower compared to ...
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- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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