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Wednesday, 07 October 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Sale and Purchase activity during the first three quarters of 2015 and more specifically during the summer season has been rather remarkable. 421 vessels, totaling 30 million dwt, changed hands in the period between June and August 2015, while in the same period last year, 304 vessels, totaling 17.8 million dwt, were sold. The increase is significant and we generally see a pretty good momentum in the number of sales as well as an increase in sale candidates at the moment.
What is also quite notable is that this year kicked off with heavy scrapping activity. As a matter of fact, during the first half of 2015 strong demo sales seemed to be laying the groundwork for a record year of scrapping, however signs of a slowdown during Q3, have now considerably lowered expectation for the year’s final figure. 739 vessels of 31million dwt were scrapped during the period Jan-Sep 2015, while 594 of these ships were sold for demo during Jan-Jun 2015. This clearly shows that activity has slowed down compared to the first half of the year.
The heavy scrapping activity that was witnessed in the first six months of 2015 was almost solely attributed to dry bulk vessels that amidst exceptionally poor rates headed for scrap in high volumes. In the first half of the year, 265 dry bulk vessels (above 20,000dwt) were scrapped, while in the entire of 2014 we count 267 vessels (above 20,000dwt) sent for demo. The case of 15-yr bulkers being sent for scrap was more than often during both Q1 and Q2, while as rates started finding a more stable foot in the beginning of the summer season, dry bulk owners of older tonnage quickly distanced themselves from the demolition option.
On the other hand and with regards to the volume of tankers that have been scrapped so far in 2015, we note that this is minimal. 68 Tankers were scrapped during the first half of the year and only 10 during the third quarter. The booming daily rates in the sector this year, have after a prolonged period of intense volatility and disappointing performance, provided tanker owners with renewed hope, while lower demolition prices have also deterred owners of tankers above their scrapping age, to hold back a little while longer. Last year, a total of 669 tankers, totaling 9.9mil dwt were sent for scrap, while this year, in the period Jan-Sep we count 314 tankers of around 2.57mil dwt.
Average demolition prices offered today are around 300 – 320 $/ton, while last year they were ranging between 400-420usd/ton. In the case of a VLCC, of about 37,000 tons lightweight, today’s demo prices translate to $3-4 million less per ship sold. Adding to that the fact that VLCC rates have soared to above $ 100,000/day in the past three weeks, there is absolutely no argument for scrapping at the moment.
If freight rates remain around or close to current levels, it will make good sense for all of the 21 VLs built between 1995 and 1996, which have reached or are about to reach their 20th year and 4th SS/DD, to get their 5 year extension. Overall sentiment remains bullish for the sector, while with Saudi Crude Production expected to stay at levels well above 10 million barrels/day, and the winter season approaching, the arguments for firm demand and negligible scrapping in the following months remain plenty.
By John N. Cotzias
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 07 October 15
U.S. COAL EXPORTS FOR THE FIRST SEVEN MONTHS DOWN 21 PER CENT COMPARED WITH THE SAME PERIOD IN 2014 - EIA
Coal Supply
Lower U.S.’s domestic coal consumption and reduced exports contribute to a forecast decline of 89 million short tons (M ...
Wednesday, 07 October 15
INDONESIA COAL SWAPS HAVE CONTINUED TO DECLINE, FALLING ALMOST 7% M-M
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q4 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The Q4 swap declined $ 2.23 (-5.51%) per t ...
Tuesday, 06 October 15
THE IMPACT OF LOW OIL PRICE ON THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY - LITERATED
The fall in global oil prices over the last one year has been beneficial to the shipping industry. The demand for oil tankers has picked up and the ...
Tuesday, 06 October 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS PLUNGE MORE THAN 6 PER CENT M-M
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q4' 2015 declined week over week and month over month.
The Q4 swap was down US$ ...
Monday, 05 October 15
Q1 & Q2 2016 DELIVERY SWAPS DECLINED M-M AND W-W THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q4’ 2015 delivery decreased $0.36 per ton (0.85%) month over month to US$ 42.12 per ton. The ...
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- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- White Energy Company Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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